Recent-Psychology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

329

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-20 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

64% 42% -$339

Sports

18% 47% +$125

Crypto

14% 55% +$81

Politics

3% 100% +$46

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+12	$5	12¢	$1	-$4	04-28 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$420	280	280	+0	Yes	+$106	05-18 23:30
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$144	87	87	+0	Patriots	+$30	01-25 23:21
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$123	80	80	+0	Yes	+$29	03-07 21:54
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$118	159	159	+0	No	+$18	02-06 01:32
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$100	123	0	+123	Yes	+$23	04-09 16:04
bra bra sao 2026 03 15 sao	6	$100	140	140	+0	Yes	+$24	03-16 01:26
ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 lev2	3	$98	172	44	+128	No	-$50	02-24 20:56
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$96	122	122	+0	No	+$16	05-10 22:12
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$94	100	50	+50	Yes	+$52	02-17 22:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$93	67	67	+0	Yes	+$13	06-06 09:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$91	51	51	+0	No	+$11	06-01 18:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$88	49	49	+0	No	+$8	05-30 15:14
sea nap lec 2026 03 14 nap	2	$86	62	62	+0	Yes	+$30	03-14 18:49
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$80	143	0	+143	Seahawks	+$63	01-25 23:22
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 b04	3	$78	156	156	+0	No	+$22	03-14 14:58
bra cha cam 2026 04 02 cam	3	$77	46	46	+0	Yes	+$13	04-02 22:45
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	1	$74	135	0	+135	No	-$74	03-14 20:50
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	4	$74	43	43	+0	Yes	+$10	03-15 15:39
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	2	$72	47	47	+0	Yes	+$16	03-14 17:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$72	180	0	+180	No	-$72	05-29 20:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	2	$69	72	72	+0	open	—	06-01 18:52
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	2	$67	76	76	+0	No	$0	02-06 01:32
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$61	144	0	+144	Joshua Van	-$61	09-20 03:31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$56	54	52	+2	No	+$16	04-22 12:04
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 mun	1	$56	100	0	+100	No	-$56	02-10 15:29
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$55	40	40	+0	Yes	+$24	03-06 23:02
epl che new 2026 03 14 che	1	$54	101	0	+101	No	-$54	03-14 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:20 UTC	2	$52	34	33	+0	Up	+$12	03-05 20:24
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	2	$52	35	35	+0	Yes	+$18	02-17 22:19
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$51	131	100	+31	Yes	+$8	04-28 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 03:31:07	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x71842d…
09-20 03:30:43	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x610522…
09-20 01:45:36	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x27e1a2…
09-20 01:43:37	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x9f06d1…
09-20 01:28:43	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x5da8dd…
07-09 18:03:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xec8d7b…
07-09 17:59:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x83aef2…
07-02 01:49:43	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	246	6¢	$16	0x2df587…
06-06 09:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	80¢	$53	0x627742…
06-02 19:18:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf58365…
06-02 18:37:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?	Yes	BUY	63	66¢	$41	0xf7a018…
06-01 18:53:48	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$9	0x2268dc…
06-01 18:52:44	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	72	26¢	$19	0x53d72c…
06-01 18:51:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x06b6b9…
06-01 14:09:40	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x784646…
06-01 00:01:54	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	102	41¢	$42	0x1d89c4…
05-30 19:18:46	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x887ec2…
05-30 15:16:15	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	45	19¢	$8	0xb3a65e…
05-30 15:14:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xb85019…
05-29 20:50:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	180	40¢	$72	0x54462e…
05-21 00:05:56	Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xc9df5f…
05-21 00:04:59	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x61a7c5…
05-21 00:04:34	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfe110a…
05-21 00:04:22	Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1f1a96…
05-21 00:04:04	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x4dae09…
05-20 23:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xfe8a1d…
05-20 18:50:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x749aa4…
05-20 18:49:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xc6df7f…
05-19 19:26:06	Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7282a3…
05-19 13:17:15	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa104d9…
05-18 23:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x518fb2…
05-18 23:38:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x1b0be0…
05-18 23:30:19	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	280	94¢	$263	0x490a9d…
05-11 19:46:47	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc13e22…
05-11 19:03:13	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x7200a4…
05-11 19:00:44	Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7228ed…
05-11 18:57:25	Noah Okafor: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb02110…
05-11 18:53:39	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x584275…
05-11 18:53:04	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3e0c56…
05-11 13:29:21	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0xffd9f8…
05-11 13:27:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x21c62b…
05-10 22:24:32	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd4cb24…
05-10 22:15:33	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	104	55¢	$57	0x0847bc…
05-10 22:12:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x29e6d5…
05-04 14:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x6d45b8…
05-03 00:45:42	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xbf2d2a…
05-02 19:06:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf54287…
05-02 15:55:02	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x4ab29b…
05-02 15:44:48	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x57b609…
05-02 15:44:44	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0xd7d40c…
05-02 15:44:44	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x33a3e1…
05-02 14:10:48	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa26452…
05-02 14:09:32	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xccd174…
05-02 14:09:24	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x319cd7…
05-01 00:12:30	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe1c8db…
05-01 00:12:02	Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xea2b5b…
04-30 02:01:48	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7ea0ab…
04-30 02:01:08	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0d7683…
04-29 19:01:34	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x98d13e…
04-29 19:00:16	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8b5667…
04-29 15:03:18	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x4ae6e3…
04-29 14:34:24	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x489d45…
04-29 14:33:50	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe3280c…
04-29 00:10:56	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbff962…
04-28 19:55:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xf7c13b…
04-28 19:55:14	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3e5373…
04-28 19:29:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1d8a03…
04-28 19:28:08	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x04c82f…
04-28 19:24:26	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xf38686…
04-26 23:23:46	CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xe44c22…
04-25 12:57:38	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x10d476…
04-25 12:57:20	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf76604…
04-25 12:57:06	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb1ecc8…
04-25 12:56:56	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x431184…
04-25 12:56:50	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x4f6dd2…
04-25 12:56:32	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb1cae5…
04-25 12:56:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x531ffc…
04-25 12:55:16	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcf00db…
04-22 21:12:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb65a7a…
04-22 16:11:14	lal rso get 2026 04 22 rso	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x944ece…
04-22 16:10:56	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xf44aa1…
04-22 16:10:48	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb83435…
04-22 16:10:20	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x42f6c2…
04-22 16:09:18	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 ags nico oreilly	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x14570d…
04-22 12:04:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0x259cf2…
04-21 19:45:50	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3cb506…
04-21 19:45:06	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd8138d…
04-20 13:29:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc6c4cd…
04-19 18:48:36	bra bra cre 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	Red Bull Bragantino	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xebc11b…
04-19 18:48:14	bra cor cam 2026 04 19 cam	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x753d37…
04-19 18:47:58	bra san flu 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4bcc4b…
04-19 18:47:48	bra san flu 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x224a64…
04-19 03:02:38	epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xe4ba95…
04-19 03:02:18	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf30a31…
04-18 22:53:30	bra cru gre 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa6d261…
04-18 21:43:42	bra cha bot 2026 04 18 bot	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xf27116…
04-18 21:42:16	bra vas sao 2026 04 18 btts	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x101134…
04-18 19:17:42	cdr atm rso 2026 04 18 atm	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x722d0c…
04-18 19:17:16	epl che mun 2026 04 18 che	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4022e9…
04-18 17:04:12	sea nap laz 2026 04 18 nap	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xeb4230…