Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
25
Trades
80
lifetime
Volume
$4.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$642
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-27 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
48% 33% -$90
Politics
37% 58% +$50
Tech
14% 0% -$57
Crypto
2% 50% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$484 96¢ $-479 +$5 09-09 23:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +111 $100 90¢ $101 +$1 10-03 12:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -100 -$42 38¢ $-38 +$4 10-27 18:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67 $10 20¢ $14 +$4 10-05 22:04
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-18 13:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 10-17 22:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +28 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-03 23:56