Realized P&L
-$5.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
227
Trades
1,794
lifetime
Volume
$442.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$46.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-27 08:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
73% 79% +$832
Politics
20% 65% -$2,143
Crypto
4% 56% -$726
Sports
2% 33% -$3,227
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$28
Tech
0% 50% -$569
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +23,000 $21,590 88¢ $20.2K -$1,350 10-27 08:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,000 $5,390 74¢ $5.9K +$490 10-18 12:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6,000 $4,835 94¢ $5.6K +$775 09-21 13:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5,750 $5,324 90¢ $5.2K -$147 10-20 22:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,500 $2,770 72¢ $2.5K -$268 10-18 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,500 $2,030 83¢ $2.1K +$45 09-26 00:32
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1,674 $1,641 99¢ $1.7K +$20 10-01 23:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,750 $1,050 94¢ $1.6K +$586 10-02 16:52
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $920 94¢ $935 +$15 10-19 08:41
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $250 88¢ $437 +$187 08-20 12:39
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +1,000 $270 18¢ $180 -$90 09-22 10:27
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $166 90¢ $168 +$3 10-03 17:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $103 56¢ $104 +$1 10-03 17:30
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +412 $210 11¢ $45 -$165 05-10 10:56