Realized P&L
-$5.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$657
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
231
Trades
1,810
lifetime
Volume
$455.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$51.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 11-10 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
72% 79% +$1,312
Politics
21% 65% -$2,396
Crypto
4% 56% -$726
Sports
2% 33% -$3,227
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$28
Tech
0% 50% -$569
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +29,000 $26,930 88¢ $25.7K -$1,265 11-10 09:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,905 $8,108 80¢ $9.6K +$1,475 10-27 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6,000 $4,835 97¢ $5.8K +$1,012 09-21 13:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5,750 $5,324 88¢ $5.1K -$247 10-20 22:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,500 $2,770 72¢ $2.5K -$232 10-18 14:25
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1,674 $1,641 99¢ $1.7K +$23 10-01 23:06
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 No +500 $340 96¢ $478 +$138 08-23 01:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $250 92¢ $457 +$207 08-20 12:39
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $166 86¢ $163 -$3 10-03 17:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $103 54¢ $101 -$3 10-03 17:30
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? Yes +47 $41 92¢ $44 +$3 05-05 19:21
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +1,000 $270 4¢ $36 -$234 09-22 10:27
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +30 $27 98¢ $29 +$2 08-23 09:55
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +412 $210 6¢ $25 -$185 05-10 10:56
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +0 $34 36¢ $0 -$34 06-12 11:01