Realized P&L (90d)
-$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
405
1,808 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$72.3K
$455.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$51.0K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 11-10 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
72% 79% +$1,312
Politics
21% 65% -$2,396
Crypto
4% 56% -$726
Sports
2% 33% -$3,227
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$28
Tech
0% 50% -$569
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +29,000 $26,930 90¢ $26.0K -$975 11-10 09:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,905 $8,108 77¢ $9.2K +$1,047 10-27 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6,000 $4,835 97¢ $5.8K +$1,003 09-21 13:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5,750 $5,324 92¢ $5.3K -$20 10-20 22:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,500 $2,770 48¢ $1.7K -$1,090 10-18 14:25
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1,674 $1,641 99¢ $1.7K +$18 10-01 23:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $250 94¢ $470 +$220 08-20 12:39
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 No +500 $340 94¢ $470 +$130 08-23 01:57
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $166 86¢ $163 -$3 10-03 17:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +188 $103 54¢ $101 -$2 10-03 17:30
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +1,000 $270 7¢ $70 -$200 09-22 10:27
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? Yes +47 $41 92¢ $44 +$3 05-05 19:21
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +412 $210 8¢ $35 -$175 05-10 10:56
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +30 $27 98¢ $29 +$2 08-23 09:55
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +0 $34 41¢ $0 -$34 06-12 11:01