Realized P&L
-$561
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
534
Trades
3,425
lifetime
Volume
$39.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$130
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-27 16:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
78% 62% -$580
Crypto
10% 88% +$82
Politics
7% 54% -$93
Sports
4% 38% +$31
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -29 -$25 97¢ $-28 -$3 06-07 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -26 -$22 94¢ $-24 -$2 06-07 06:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -17 -$17 99¢ $-17 $0 06-07 06:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -17 -$15 96¢ $-16 -$2 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 $0 06-07 06:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -9 -$8 95¢ $-8 $0 06-07 06:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -8 -$6 94¢ $-8 -$1 06-07 06:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -7 -$5 66¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -6 -$4 76¢ $-5 -$1 06-07 06:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4 -$3 86¢ $-4 -$1 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-07 06:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -11 -$2 18¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 23:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $2 43¢ $2 $0 10-19 19:18