Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved
19
Trades
2,023
lifetime
Volume
$24.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$229
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 06-26 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
70% 33% $-82
Crypto
16% 100% +$1
Politics
10% 0% $-11
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +57 $50 86¢ $49 $-1 06-26 11:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -43 $-37 90¢ $-39 $-2 06-07 06:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -29 $-25 90¢ $-26 $-1 06-07 06:22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -23 $-23 100¢ $-23 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -17 $-17 95¢ $-16 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -17 $-15 92¢ $-16 $-1 06-07 06:22
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No -17 $-13 84¢ $-14 $-1 06-07 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 06:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 06:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -8 $-6 82¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 06:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -7 $-5 72¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 06:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -6 $-4 66¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 06:22
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -62 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-07 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-07 06:22