Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved
19
Trades
1,997
lifetime
Volume
$24.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$245
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 06-08 19:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
70% 33% $-82
Crypto
16% 100% +$1
Politics
10% 0% $-11
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -43 $-37 88¢ $-38 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 $-37 98¢ $-37 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -29 $-25 86¢ $-25 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -23 $-23 99¢ $-23 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -17 $-17 95¢ $-16 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -17 $-15 86¢ $-15 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No -17 $-13 78¢ $-13 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -12 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 06:22
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +214 $21 $11 $-11 06-08 16:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 06:22
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes -10 $-10 97¢ $-9 +$0 06-07 06:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -9 $-8 91¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 06:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 06:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -7 $-5 73¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 06:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -6 $-4 60¢ $-4 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 06:22
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -62 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-07 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-07 06:22