Regal-Dill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-31 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 50% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	9	$257	148	121	+27	open	—	06-29 22:09
atp kingsle mmoh 2026 04 15	4	$186	99	99	+0	open	—	04-15 19:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$135	96	129	-32	open	—	06-29 22:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$134	76	76	+0	open	—	05-31 15:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$92	46	54	-8	open	—	05-31 15:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	06-29 19:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	5	$69	34	39	-5	open	—	05-31 15:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	05-14 22:06
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-13 17:04
Epstein client list released by June 30?	9	$45	25	20	+5	open	—	06-29 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	05-27 17:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 15:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$25	13	18	-5	open	—	05-31 15:05
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	07-31 19:33
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 15:04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$20	39	0	+39	Los Angeles Angels	$-20	05-10 15:35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-31 15:05
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-31 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-31 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-31 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$16	18	14	+3	open	—	06-09 14:07
wta cocciar podrez 2026 04 15	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 16:10
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-04 13:06
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	07-30 21:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 14:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 15:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$9	33	5	+28	open	—	06-04 16:57
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-16 16:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-28 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 19:33:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc91168…
07-31 19:30:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x291675…
07-30 21:12:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa15595…
07-30 14:42:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2ce242…
07-20 15:33:09	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1913c6…
07-16 16:03:10	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x550110…
07-01 12:51:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0d2872…
07-01 03:04:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd08147…
06-30 16:33:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd12e6e…
06-29 22:09:19	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5c00d…
06-29 22:09:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x1a36e5…
06-29 22:09:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x060b10…
06-29 22:08:07	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x994743…
06-29 22:08:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x72a883…
06-29 22:08:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x4a87a5…
06-29 21:09:14	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd48654…
06-29 21:09:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xc5b898…
06-29 21:09:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x4eb8da…
06-29 21:06:14	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda62d8…
06-29 21:06:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x7b38b4…
06-29 21:06:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xf736c4…
06-29 20:15:17	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde98b3…
06-29 20:15:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xbd48d9…
06-29 20:15:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xdd7e94…
06-29 20:12:10	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b1f3f…
06-29 20:12:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x3ffd28…
06-29 20:12:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x30ab56…
06-29 19:18:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xd8da1f…
06-29 19:18:11	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x007c42…
06-29 19:18:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xb9cfd6…
06-29 19:15:14	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5d976f…
06-29 19:15:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x346bb4…
06-29 19:15:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xed5bd4…
06-29 19:15:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xecbc98…
06-27 13:03:10	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc8e061…
06-09 14:07:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x8f407a…
06-09 14:07:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x8eeb6e…
06-09 00:24:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x10a129…
06-08 15:19:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xd93ac1…
06-04 16:57:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x31872f…
06-04 16:21:57	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e44c7…
06-04 13:12:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x492390…
06-04 13:09:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x8cd10f…
06-04 13:06:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x65765f…
06-04 13:06:34	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x286c46…
06-04 13:06:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7ae098…
05-31 15:06:31	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2bb732…
05-31 15:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb39f0b…
05-31 15:05:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb5a338…
05-31 15:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xacc15b…
05-31 15:05:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xd0c6dc…
05-31 15:05:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x54dff5…
05-31 15:05:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xac257f…
05-31 15:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1fa8b8…
05-31 15:05:16	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7ed9c6…
05-31 15:05:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x643c48…
05-31 15:04:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x918b57…
05-31 15:04:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x8d8b9e…
05-31 15:04:15	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xcf6044…
05-31 15:04:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x0df5c0…
05-31 15:04:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0xbcd59d…
05-31 15:04:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	12¢	$7	0xa08c93…
05-31 15:03:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xfc62be…
05-31 15:03:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x06e462…
05-31 15:01:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe282ff…
05-31 15:01:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xd3eee3…
05-31 15:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x3a3131…
05-31 06:15:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdf0395…
05-31 06:00:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x8aa846…
05-31 00:03:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8d8b8e…
05-30 11:30:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x115b05…
05-30 01:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcdd39b…
05-30 00:00:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3492c7…
05-29 18:54:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x50486c…
05-29 17:06:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd61ec2…
05-29 00:21:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb3e150…
05-28 20:06:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea81c8…
05-28 19:36:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x523c32…
05-28 19:24:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x149ef6…
05-28 16:36:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x76bbbe…
05-28 16:21:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd98e49…
05-28 16:19:55	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4c4140…
05-28 16:19:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x1089f4…
05-28 00:57:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8148a0…
05-27 17:42:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x81ea42…
05-27 17:42:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x71ece7…
05-27 17:42:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x4e9505…
05-27 17:42:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x5cea9f…
05-27 17:39:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe66c70…
05-27 17:39:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x169f75…
05-27 17:39:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5627ed…
05-27 17:39:14	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfcca05…
05-27 17:39:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc628f4…
05-27 17:39:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x42216d…
05-27 17:37:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6a17d0…
05-27 17:37:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x88161f…
05-27 17:37:20	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa3e998…
05-27 17:37:20	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2a26f0…
05-27 17:37:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xe18e25…
05-27 17:37:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x53d908…