Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
28.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
136
lifetime
Volume
$1.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$131
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-09 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
51% 100% +$0
Other
46%
Sports
3% 50% $-18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +44 $43 100¢ $44 +$1 06-04 13:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +38 $36 96¢ $37 +$1 06-04 13:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 06-04 13:06
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +11 $10 85¢ $9 $-1 06-04 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -47 $-4 12¢ $-6 $-1 05-31 15:04
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-3 98¢ $-5 $-2 05-31 15:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-3 92¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 05-29 17:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 15:19