Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
-$127
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved
47
Trades
336
lifetime
Volume
$15.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$216
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-05 09:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
49%
69%
+$411
Other
32%
43%
-$99
Crypto
10%
43%
-$338
Sports
9%
0%
-$23
Tech
0%
0%
-$18
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -200 | -$168 | 97¢ | $-194 | -$26 | 05-09 03:52 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | +300 | $123 | 7¢ | $22 | -$101 | 07-05 09:33 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 11 | $1.7K | 1,100 | 1,100 | +0 | open | — | 05-28 14:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 14 | $1.2K | 800 | 800 | +0 | Yes | +$35 | 05-27 08:21 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 13 | $1.1K | 1,200 | 800 | +400 | Yes | +$223 | 06-13 12:10 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 16 | $1.0K | 600 | 550 | +50 | No | +$14 | 03-10 01:28 |
| cbb ark arz 2026 03 26 total 165pt5 | 33 | $990 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Over | -$10 | 03-26 08:31 |
| cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27 total 141pt5 | 13 | $981 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Over | -$19 | 03-26 02:24 |
| nba okc lal 2026 04 07 total 222pt5 | 2 | $930 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Under | -$10 | 04-07 07:49 |
| will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026 | 7 | $852 | 500 | 400 | +100 | No | +$36 | 02-01 03:57 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 14 | $733 | 800 | 1,000 | -200 | No | +$101 | 03-09 05:43 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28? | 16 | $630 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Up | +$46 | 05-28 14:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 7 | $568 | 710 | 710 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-10 12:27 |
| nba mil bkn 2026 04 07 total 220pt5 | 6 | $543 | 532 | 532 | +0 | Under | -$10 | 04-07 09:34 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? | 10 | $372 | 312 | 312 | +0 | Up | +$6 | 05-27 07:26 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 8 | $328 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$4 | 03-09 04:49 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 2 | $314 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$26 | 05-25 14:50 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616 | 4 | $271 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Yes | -$271 | 02-02 03:04 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28? | 15 | $243 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 05-28 14:14 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8? | 18 | $236 | 383 | 383 | +0 | Up | -$9 | 05-08 06:41 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 2 | $216 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$4 | 05-24 04:45 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7? | 4 | $209 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Down | -$5 | 05-07 02:28 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? | 6 | $202 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Down | +$0 | 05-07 03:18 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 2 | $178 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | +$22 | 01-19 09:53 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $168 | 0 | 200 | -200 | open | — | 05-09 03:52 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $166 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Yes | -$6 | 05-11 12:31 |
| spx up or down on march 18 2026 | 10 | $148 | 100 | 100 | +0 | Down | +$2 | 03-18 10:31 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 2 | $137 | 100 | 57 | +43 | Yes | -$33 | 01-26 09:35 |
| mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31 | 3 | $130 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | -$2 | 03-10 01:59 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 3 | $123 | 300 | 0 | +300 | open | — | 07-05 09:33 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 4 | $106 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | -$14 | 03-09 06:44 |
| spx up or down on march 5 2026 | 3 | $105 | 210 | 0 | +210 | Down | -$105 | 03-05 02:49 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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