(anonymous) 0x95b394…021df1
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$129
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
110
Trades
832
lifetime
Volume
$183.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$220
Open exposure
$78.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% -$4,332
Other
41% 64% -$1,874
Tech
1% 83% -$16
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +21,384 $19,074 92¢ $19.6K +$492 10-26 17:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +12,578 $11,338 92¢ $11.6K +$297 10-10 19:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12,877 $10,910 83¢ $10.7K -$223 10-08 11:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10,423 $9,682 94¢ $9.7K +$63 10-24 11:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +6,072 $5,849 98¢ $5.9K +$74 09-02 10:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,802 $2,928 74¢ $2.8K -$95 09-24 02:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,839 $2,700 97¢ $2.7K +$50 10-25 06:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,381 $2,282 96¢ $2.3K +$5 10-17 11:07
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,878 $1,798 96¢ $1.8K +$11 09-05 22:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,964 $2,733 37¢ $1.4K -$1,284 10-16 14:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +1,000 $997 100¢ $996 -$2 10-27 12:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +800 $728 90¢ $724 -$4 10-05 10:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +733 $713 98¢ $722 +$9 10-24 04:57
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +681 $599 89¢ $604 +$6 10-26 20:48
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +600 $587 98¢ $591 +$4 10-24 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +660 $485 88¢ $584 +$99 09-23 05:18
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +567 $470 92¢ $518 +$48 10-27 10:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +527 $450 94¢ $492 +$43 10-26 19:43
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $450 96¢ $479 +$29 09-03 16:20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +494 $405 96¢ $474 +$69 09-13 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +529 $482 86¢ $452 -$30 10-26 05:29
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +426 $358 87¢ $370 +$13 10-26 18:16
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +357 $343 98¢ $350 +$7 09-03 13:54
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +361 $211 94¢ $337 +$126 09-23 21:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +536 $310 60¢ $325 +$14 10-26 00:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +330 $301 96¢ $319 +$18 10-25 22:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +365 $313 86¢ $316 +$3 09-05 21:53
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +316 $290 90¢ $284 -$6 10-26 01:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +313 $243 86¢ $268 +$25 09-05 02:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +258 $226 91¢ $235 +$9 09-24 05:03