Incomparable-Chuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$268

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

105

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

40% 89% +$22

Politics

26% 87% $-488

Crypto

25% 81% $-9

Sports

7% 83% +$171

Tech

1% 86% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	11	$2.6K	1,481	1,086	+395	Yes	+$1	02-18 05:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	9	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	+$1	01-20 10:59
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	11	$1.8K	1,116	749	+367	No	+$3	01-25 10:30
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	14	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	+$0	01-11 11:58
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	6	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	+$0	01-09 15:39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	20	$1.2K	629	629	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 02:41
trump out as president by march 31	11	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	+$1	02-19 18:56
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	4	$1.2K	785	392	+393	Yes	+$0	02-09 14:37
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.0K	525	505	+20	No	+$1	01-03 09:10
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	9	$814	408	408	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 02:19
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$784	394	394	+0	No	+$0	02-12 19:04
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	16	$781	392	392	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 10:17
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	5	$779	392	392	-0	No	+$1	02-09 11:55
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	14	$776	391	391	+0	No	+$1	02-07 11:10
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	3	$722	362	362	+0	No	+$0	01-08 14:09
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$721	362	362	+0	No	+$0	01-11 03:41
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	4	$716	362	362	+0	No	+$0	01-12 01:40
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	5	$714	369	369	+0	No	$-12	02-05 01:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	11	$695	359	359	+0	No	+$0	04-07 01:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$688	360	360	+0	Yes	+$0	01-12 05:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$678	342	342	+0	No	$-0	02-15 09:30
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$647	324	324	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 00:26
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	4	$616	312	312	+0	No	+$3	07-18 03:21
chinese or russian athlete kicked out of 2026 winter games for doping	1	$566	567	0	+567	No	+$1	02-23 09:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	7	$566	286	286	+0	No	+$1	04-12 16:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$496	500	500	+0	Yes	$-495	03-01 14:04
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$491	246	246	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 08:33
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	24	$471	230	242	-11	Yes	$-0	01-04 04:19
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$405	203	203	+0	Yes	+$0	01-03 13:41
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$395	198	198	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:53:54	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0xe81577…
07-18 03:21:52	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x475e60…
07-14 04:14:22	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x466982…
07-09 13:12:43	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	152	99¢	$151	0x66fe22…
07-07 17:33:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x63ac67…
06-29 15:30:53	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfd934c…
06-29 14:32:02	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0x1b53c1…
06-29 13:37:01	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x66a079…
06-29 11:40:44	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x61d946…
06-29 07:42:16	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe8fbb1…
06-29 05:40:08	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3bcdc8…
06-29 05:27:19	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xddfcf9…
06-29 05:11:32	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbdb1eb…
06-28 12:41:56	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x4a05e3…
06-18 21:32:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0xe8b8b8…
06-17 17:39:40	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xf085ec…
06-14 13:13:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x3a17e9…
06-10 20:53:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x26e11b…
06-09 21:45:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$153	0x0f61a0…
06-04 13:37:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0xa8eb6f…
06-01 02:20:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$2	0x57fbe4…
05-29 16:55:17	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x62874b…
05-28 06:26:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0xf7f2c3…
05-28 04:29:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xb8cd4a…
05-24 10:56:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7cec4e…
05-22 03:01:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa8919c…
05-16 04:11:47	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfdd56e…
05-16 03:57:02	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x74afcd…
05-16 03:16:22	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfacd3b…
05-12 04:04:35	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa6266a…
05-12 03:08:45	Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1dba86…
05-12 02:46:23	Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcfc923…
05-12 02:29:40	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7936fe…
05-12 02:29:07	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x380e79…
05-12 02:15:19	Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xde9e0e…
05-12 02:14:41	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xfdcfae…
05-12 02:13:48	Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3d22f6…
05-12 02:13:43	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9e216b…
05-09 06:15:31	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x648fc4…
05-09 06:09:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02e95f…
05-09 06:03:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1cb258…
05-09 05:15:05	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x579a12…
05-06 11:23:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x428f56…
05-06 10:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x416a9b…
05-02 02:43:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x32d02e…
04-26 15:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0x5eba24…
04-23 07:27:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$182	0x8bc9e5…
04-22 08:47:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0xbc8d73…
04-20 23:42:26	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0x1a1d30…
04-19 13:37:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x78e04e…
04-19 13:20:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$146	0x033411…
04-19 03:38:50	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x59fe84…
04-18 04:52:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$91	0x92edae…
04-18 02:41:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	76	94¢	$72	0xf4fa59…
04-17 11:55:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	113	94¢	$107	0x36b11b…
04-16 03:03:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x55953a…
04-15 15:31:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	113	94¢	$106	0x8a36b4…
04-12 16:48:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xae9e70…
04-12 14:26:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x103140…
04-11 15:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x4ea1bf…
04-11 14:31:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x65cfb0…
04-11 09:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xaf54b0…
04-11 09:37:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf62da…
04-11 02:37:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xc2cd14…
04-11 02:06:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xb506d8…
04-10 12:38:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x719633…
04-10 03:32:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0x1f04b5…
04-10 02:33:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5ea5b5…
04-08 13:18:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x21b63a…
04-08 13:15:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x68e515…
04-08 12:13:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0xcd85ee…
04-07 01:41:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0xb722a1…
04-06 19:56:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc5cc51…
04-06 19:51:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3daa6f…
04-06 19:47:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x083c64…
04-06 19:47:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa49d68…
04-06 19:47:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x465705…
04-06 19:47:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x3de907…
04-06 19:46:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0xff2c55…
04-06 10:47:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$174	0x598505…
04-05 14:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$173	0xfad2b1…
04-05 14:00:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x39428c…
03-29 13:35:52	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4b3dfb…
03-29 13:35:32	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x398e74…
03-29 13:35:12	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xedd6f1…
03-29 13:34:50	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x92fc5c…
03-29 13:34:24	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf48de2…
03-29 13:33:54	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x08a54b…
03-29 13:33:10	will gas hit low 3pt05 by march 31	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x312def…
03-29 13:32:50	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa15bdb…
03-29 13:32:30	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe432f0…
03-29 13:32:04	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x5e2bae…
03-26 08:48:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x36e2ed…
03-26 08:11:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xb6a91e…
03-26 06:47:49	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfb57eb…
03-26 06:34:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7b83fc…
03-26 06:26:31	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4c0d9…
03-26 06:20:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0x5ce1e7…
03-25 06:29:21	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xba0c53…
03-25 05:39:15	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc65438…