Acidic-Taxi — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$570

Unrealized P&L

-$1.27K

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

276 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.54K

$124.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$453

Open exposure

$3.64K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 11-01 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

62% 76% +$1,777

Politics

35% 41% -$4,357

Crypto

3% 71% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+3,000	$2,700	97¢	$2.9K	+$204	10-26 17:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,787	$1,250	15¢	$560	-$689	07-19 01:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7,618	$967	2¢	$179	-$788	07-04 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	3	$7.3K	3,828	3,828	+0	No	+$293	06-24 11:53
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	4	$6.7K	7,284	0	+7,284	No	+$625	07-31 07:04
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	14	$5.5K	6,233	0	+6,233	No	+$760	08-13 10:26
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$5.4K	4,683	4,683	+0	Yes	-$31	07-28 13:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$5.0K	2,606	2,606	+0	No	+$203	05-19 21:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$4.2K	2,187	2,187	+0	No	+$165	05-05 16:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$4.0K	4,494	0	+4,494	Yes	+$494	09-26 10:21
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$3.8K	4,072	0	+4,072	No	+$282	06-24 11:54
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$3.7K	1,998	1,998	+0	No	+$84	10-23 20:47
russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	2	$3.5K	1,880	1,880	+0	No	+$184	10-14 16:12
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	4	$3.3K	4,685	0	+4,685	Yes	-$3,306	08-18 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,846	1,846	+0	No	+$359	08-27 23:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$3.1K	3,932	1,300	+2,632	No	-$1,806	09-03 19:44
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$3.0K	4,054	0	+4,054	No	-$3,000	10-04 18:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-26 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,782	0	+2,782	No	+$282	08-18 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$2.5K	2,078	1,415	+663	No	-$509	05-03 00:34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,652	0	+2,652	No	+$208	08-28 16:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$440	09-26 09:50
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,092	1,092	+0	No	+$50	05-03 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	No	+$55	08-06 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,052	1,052	+0	No	+$50	08-13 09:55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,026	0	+2,026	No	+$60	08-18 14:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$123	05-05 16:05
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	1	$1.8K	2,659	0	+2,659	Yes	+$859	10-24 08:40
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,936	0	+1,936	No	+$166	05-11 12:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	-$416	08-27 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$1.3K	680	680	+0	No	+$79	05-01 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$1.3K	680	680	+0	No	+$42	05-03 00:32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$1.3K	652	652	+0	No	+$23	05-03 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:17:09	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x967254…
10-28 05:50:43	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x9202e2…
10-26 17:00:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x5c6ad3…
10-24 08:40:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	2,659	68¢	$1,800	0x460bf5…
10-23 21:10:38	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	215	26¢	$56	0x553918…
10-23 21:10:02	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	308	17¢	$52	0xa5d8ad…
10-23 20:47:23	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,998	94¢	$1,884	0x8817fe…
10-22 07:47:32	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x315842…
10-14 16:15:10	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,998	90¢	$1,800	0xcb0600…
10-14 16:12:09	russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	No	SELL	1,880	99¢	$1,864	0x3f64e0…
10-05 08:23:13	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,880	89¢	$1,680	0x2e1c4d…
10-04 18:08:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,054	74¢	$3,000	0xe61830…
09-26 10:21:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,494	89¢	$4,000	0x6875e4…
09-26 09:50:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	42¢	$840	0x0dcb73…
09-04 14:19:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	159	60¢	$96	0x48ba3d…
09-04 13:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7cf1ec…
09-03 19:44:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,632	57¢	$1,500	0x4768e0…
09-03 09:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	577	87¢	$500	0x375fde…
08-28 16:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	479	92¢	$440	0xa39ce6…
08-28 15:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb166b8…
08-28 15:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	95	92¢	$87	0x222956…
08-28 15:25:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	121	92¢	$111	0x060934…
08-28 15:20:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,300	50¢	$650	0x435549…
08-28 08:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,952	92¢	$1,800	0x3ab86d…
08-27 23:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,767	98¢	$1,731	0xda2ab1…
08-27 22:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0xa0321e…
08-27 04:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,846	79¢	$1,450	0x3af957…
08-27 04:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,093	53¢	$584	0x4db876…
08-26 13:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,054	95¢	$1,000	0x08cc87…
08-24 19:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,093	92¢	$1,000	0x1db862…
08-24 13:23:31	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdd8a7f…
08-23 11:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,249	80¢	$1,000	0x588a56…
08-20 23:20:10	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	193	67¢	$129	0x23a21b…
08-20 21:40:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x575024…
08-20 21:40:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x3a751e…
08-20 21:40:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x12782c…
08-20 21:40:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x46068f…
08-20 21:40:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x302698…
08-20 19:31:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x89ca99…
08-20 08:55:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	64¢	$1,280	0x6d6cbe…
08-20 08:41:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,300	74¢	$956	0xc16e16…
08-20 08:38:54	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	651	67¢	$435	0x777454…
08-19 16:36:58	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x0a5adc…
08-19 16:36:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x5d60c4…
08-19 13:30:16	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x0b6b0e…
08-18 14:56:57	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0xea8be4…
08-18 14:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0xcbb7d6…
08-18 12:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	98¢	$1,000	0x54861e…
08-18 12:14:18	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	622	80¢	$500	0x8e2206…
08-18 11:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	611	82¢	$500	0x42cada…
08-17 17:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0xfb0c0a…
08-17 11:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,071	93¢	$1,000	0xe5774b…
08-13 10:26:39	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	550	85¢	$467	0xef0255…
08-13 10:19:49	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	78	85¢	$67	0x34db44…
08-13 10:19:03	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xbe5553…
08-13 10:17:24	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	570	86¢	$490	0x1bb8e2…
08-13 10:09:45	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	SELL	570	98¢	$558	0xc7354b…
08-13 10:03:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x3b7f79…
08-13 10:01:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	329	91¢	$300	0x8e48bd…
08-13 09:57:22	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x8659d4…
08-13 09:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0x742eb7…
08-13 09:54:34	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x2bd23b…
08-11 12:41:16	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$4	0xd77785…
08-11 12:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0xffa8cb…
08-08 14:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,052	95¢	$1,000	0xbbc67b…
08-06 15:42:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1,056	100¢	$1,055	0xb73849…
08-06 15:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x226f59…
08-06 09:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x31540d…
08-02 11:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	95¢	$1,000	0xd1a078…
08-02 07:37:02	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	BUY	505	10¢	$50	0x967ea0…
08-02 07:29:51	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3,799	89¢	$3,400	0xd92ff9…
08-02 07:29:18	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	3,507	68¢	$2,400	0xe8654f…
08-01 12:23:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xe92e8a…
08-01 12:23:18	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x36b2ef…
08-01 10:01:20	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x8a5881…
08-01 10:00:14	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdea4fb…
08-01 10:00:14	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x0d91b5…
08-01 10:00:12	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	306	78¢	$239	0x0ef22c…
07-31 07:20:15	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xa1530a…
07-31 07:04:45	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0xcd9402…
07-30 22:40:56	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x195f10…
07-30 22:32:12	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x3d468f…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0xf425d1…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xb4f62a…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa526ca…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x93e5c1…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x85237d…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x7b9dcd…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x10bcc6…
07-30 22:30:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x0a6248…
07-30 22:30:33	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x7d2539…
07-30 22:30:33	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5208a7…
07-30 21:14:24	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2b917f…
07-30 18:45:35	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4901dc…
07-30 18:42:27	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x46872d…
07-30 18:18:41	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x80ba9a…
07-30 17:34:11	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3411fa…
07-30 17:13:36	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe85e36…
07-30 17:13:36	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6f614c…
07-30 17:11:23	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x368f00…