Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
119
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$487
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
51% 78% +$93
Tech
19% 95% +$240
Crypto
14% 91% -$52
Politics
8% 44% -$307
Sports
8% 54% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +163 $162 100¢ $163 +$0 10-18 14:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +113 $89 90¢ $101 +$12 10-24 09:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +56 $53 99¢ $55 +$2 10-05 20:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $40 88¢ $52 +$12 10-05 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +58 $40 88¢ $51 +$11 10-05 20:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +51 $40 94¢ $48 +$8 10-05 20:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 12:40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 12:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 09:22
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +42 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 20:15