Elliptical-Eel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$670

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-19 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-4

Politics

27% 0% $-17

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	12	$45	44	44	+0	open	—	05-15 07:50
will donald trump attend the g7 summit	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-14 07:52
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-09 20:04
bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-11 01:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-19 16:10
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-19 16:10
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-19 16:10
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	06-19 16:10
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	2	$29	19	19	+0	Yes	$-4	05-05 18:12
will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	06-15 10:42
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	6	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-12 22:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 07:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 07:55
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	2	$15	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 12:22
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	7	$15	168	108	+60	open	—	05-14 11:27
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	2	$12	21	21	+0	open	—	05-05 22:01
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	4	$11	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 17:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	3	$11	18	7	+12	Yes	$-6	05-01 22:49
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 18:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	0	12	-12	open	—	06-15 10:42
waldemar anton 20260609173253871	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-14 15:52
ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 13:52
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 05:29
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	2	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	05-02 12:27
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 17:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	06-15 10:42
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	1	$8	0	11	-11	open	—	06-09 20:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$7	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 12:30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-22 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 16:10:31	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x50db5d…
06-19 16:10:29	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x85f618…
06-19 16:10:28	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x124d1c…
06-19 16:10:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x7444c1…
06-19 16:10:23	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xeb6b26…
06-18 06:56:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x1e3e8a…
06-18 06:56:25	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x14cd0e…
06-16 08:45:57	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf89e21…
06-16 08:45:57	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x4ca848…
06-16 08:45:55	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x04a474…
06-15 10:43:43	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc724bb…
06-15 10:43:42	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$1	0xba27f8…
06-15 10:43:37	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x8db0af…
06-15 10:43:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x73ac4f…
06-15 10:43:33	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x2d6c93…
06-15 10:43:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x819b4b…
06-15 10:43:24	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x58ba7c…
06-15 10:43:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8fa3ce…
06-15 10:43:15	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x23f1c8…
06-15 10:43:04	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xde27c4…
06-15 10:42:55	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x9dc99a…
06-15 10:42:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x500fe3…
06-15 10:42:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3cb025…
06-15 10:42:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe133bc…
06-15 10:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x05a1bb…
06-15 10:42:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x6019fe…
06-15 10:42:06	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0x3afbdd…
06-15 10:42:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0x08d85d…
06-14 15:52:24	waldemar anton 20260609173253871	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x611072…
06-14 07:52:24	will donald trump attend the g7 summit	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0cf851…
06-14 06:51:16	waldemar anton 20260609173253871	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78e652…
06-12 03:52:13	will donald trump attend the g7 summit	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x1cad1f…
06-11 01:22:15	bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x1accbe…
06-10 06:55:28	will donald trump attend the g7 summit	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe90bce…
06-10 06:55:28	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x57ea2f…
06-09 20:09:24	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x05c1b8…
06-09 20:06:13	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x65ba48…
06-09 20:04:22	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x25875e…
06-09 08:52:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x8ddb69…
06-09 06:51:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf73300…
06-05 13:52:22	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x545e03…
06-05 06:56:27	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f6256…
06-05 06:56:25	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x1c21ce…
05-29 05:29:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd79673…
05-29 05:26:43	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbe1b90…
05-29 05:26:41	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x712d08…
05-26 07:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xfbba3b…
05-22 16:05:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x577753…
05-16 08:58:11	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xc90081…
05-15 18:25:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xde8f99…
05-15 17:49:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x41c096…
05-15 17:34:25	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb06abe…
05-15 17:31:45	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xe0f977…
05-15 15:14:19	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xfa6d78…
05-15 14:52:30	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x17235d…
05-15 11:59:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x3f1cfe…
05-15 08:32:38	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xd269e8…
05-15 08:29:10	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x0b6fce…
05-15 07:50:07	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe2408d…
05-14 12:21:49	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xdb58a8…
05-14 11:27:32	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x786f0d…
05-14 08:36:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x8949ce…
05-14 05:17:02	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x487171…
05-14 02:59:39	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x813ccb…
05-14 02:59:39	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x262307…
05-13 20:00:06	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x823791…
05-13 14:17:56	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x64f1d5…
05-13 08:13:55	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x322ea7…
05-13 05:29:11	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x7ceea3…
05-13 00:04:09	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xafce4b…
05-12 22:25:42	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x04a94c…
05-12 22:05:52	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf31e19…
05-12 09:07:49	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x3072f0…
05-12 09:05:24	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x167109…
05-11 18:22:23	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4eaeb9…
05-11 18:02:52	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xcf9311…
05-11 17:45:27	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xa341c0…
05-11 16:13:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca9443…
05-11 16:13:52	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x596b43…
05-11 16:04:57	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x36c86d…
05-11 16:04:55	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x6bb928…
05-11 16:04:53	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x6e9a2b…
05-11 13:25:26	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xebc567…
05-11 13:08:49	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x39b553…
05-11 08:13:47	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x5b366f…
05-11 05:53:16	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x76c14b…
05-11 03:36:58	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x572506…
05-11 03:19:30	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x3bcaef…
05-10 22:41:41	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x7b144b…
05-10 14:30:29	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x0aabd3…
05-10 13:33:21	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaccc35…
05-10 11:25:34	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x09db1d…
05-05 22:01:12	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xd999c1…
05-05 18:12:50	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x8de4da…
05-05 17:14:02	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x992bb5…
05-05 16:23:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf8a71b…
05-05 16:23:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xe06f54…
05-05 15:32:38	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xf933a2…
05-05 15:15:30	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xf84113…
05-05 12:10:28	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x26d37f…