Noteworthy-Tenet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$12

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 93% $0

Other

25% 38% -$5

Politics

17% 60% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	100¢	$-5	$0	09-28 06:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	100¢	$-5	$0	05-20 16:11
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$0	10-21 08:54
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	09-19 16:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	3	$869	436	436	+0	No	$0	03-07 15:32
will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	4	$192	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-10 10:47
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	4	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	03-10 15:21
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week	2	$100	150	0	+150	No	+$0	03-06 12:53
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-07 07:59
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-10 14:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$24	112	112	+0	No	+$0	03-08 12:54
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$23	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-26 11:45
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	3	8	-5	open	—	09-28 06:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$11	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 01:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-13 12:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-03 15:27
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-11 09:42
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	6	$8	231	231	+0	No	-$5	03-08 06:51
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	8	$7	91	91	+0	No	+$2	03-16 15:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-07 17:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-01 13:16
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	2	3	-1	open	—	09-19 16:48
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-12 09:33
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	$0	02-19 09:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-15 09:19
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-08 09:08
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-13 17:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-20 16:11
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-24 12:14
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-13 12:59
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-19 09:57
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	2	$3	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-08 07:14
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-02 09:11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-03 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:14:02	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6e8f0e…
10-21 08:54:26	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e1dd2…
09-28 06:26:35	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd8793…
09-28 06:26:21	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf413bc…
09-19 16:48:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x599e17…
09-07 16:03:33	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c31bf…
08-14 16:52:18	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x050e47…
06-10 09:09:58	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa56532…
06-01 16:08:19	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2dd533…
05-20 16:11:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x69eea4…
05-15 09:19:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46f9c7…
04-03 15:14:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe56c46…
03-26 11:45:59	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x10f33d…
03-16 16:02:05	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5bc78…
03-16 15:57:21	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xb16623…
03-13 17:11:53	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbdef7…
03-10 15:21:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xea4a71…
03-10 15:10:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x08d0a3…
03-10 14:47:31	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x9d84d5…
03-10 14:46:13	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xeba19e…
03-10 12:56:07	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x90775a…
03-10 12:53:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x004e82…
03-10 10:47:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x46d399…
03-10 10:45:37	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2c5f55…
03-10 08:58:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x8a6854…
03-10 08:51:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x571e84…
03-10 06:11:37	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6ed3da…
03-10 05:19:35	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x9a40ca…
03-09 21:32:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1dde64…
03-09 15:30:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7a4917…
03-09 15:18:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1add2f…
03-09 12:44:07	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfbc50a…
03-09 07:07:23	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xd4b553…
03-09 07:02:31	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x11e48b…
03-09 07:02:09	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xa9d7b8…
03-09 07:01:33	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5ffa10…
03-09 06:50:21	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x888b3a…
03-09 05:35:27	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5bc68d…
03-08 12:54:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x3a3994…
03-08 12:53:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0x6184c9…
03-08 07:14:31	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc076e0…
03-08 06:51:01	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xe2e0da…
03-08 01:33:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xb234d1…
03-08 01:10:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xa8d8a7…
03-08 01:02:05	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x193928…
03-08 00:58:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xb8a076…
03-07 16:00:23	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xe66e40…
03-07 15:32:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	436	100¢	$434	0xf01e1f…
03-07 08:06:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	432	100¢	$430	0xf4eb69…
03-07 07:59:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xe5841d…
03-07 06:51:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x47149e…
03-07 04:32:07	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x67f17e…
03-07 04:06:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf41c22…
03-06 12:53:29	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x23a12e…
03-06 12:28:07	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc3af69…
03-06 12:04:51	will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xe9b7d0…
03-06 11:56:29	will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbc4b65…
03-06 11:06:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xe5444b…
03-06 11:02:05	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x35354c…
03-06 10:57:23	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb073a4…
03-06 10:54:23	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc19e27…
03-06 10:53:45	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xcd67dc…
03-05 08:29:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x904ef4…
03-02 09:11:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x34aa6b…
02-19 09:57:02	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0d9373…
02-19 09:56:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5e981c…
02-18 16:42:00	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd74882…
02-17 15:11:11	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc98eb…
02-17 15:10:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x0fe4b1…
02-14 04:45:17	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x39a03b…
02-13 12:59:39	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbcf26a…
02-13 12:59:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9338d2…
02-08 20:43:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x329ea1…
02-08 09:08:47	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f3dc6…
02-07 17:52:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4bb429…
02-07 17:51:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x8a90b8…
02-04 08:47:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x88e637…
02-03 15:27:24	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf3f66…
02-01 17:33:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e4280…
01-12 09:33:54	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xe9651e…
01-11 09:42:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabeefa…
01-01 13:16:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xcc27f4…