Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
113
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$440
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$18
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 05-12 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 41% -$3
Politics
27% 18% -$30
Other
18% 19% -$26
Sports
1% 0% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +16 $5 82¢ $13 +$8 05-01 09:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6 $3 41¢ $2 -$1 05-02 07:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 05-01 09:02
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 05-02 07:54
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-01 08:35
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 05-01 08:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-01 08:34
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-01 08:30