Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$26.5K

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$796.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.31K

Open exposure

$115.0K

9 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-28 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% -$664

Politics

18% 67% -$69

Tech

12% — —

Sports

5% 0% -$994

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+100,000	$93,000	90¢	$90.5K	-$2,500	10-03 03:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+22,925	$21,944	96¢	$22.0K	+$75	10-26 22:04
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+26,914	$21,368	6¢	$1.7K	-$19,619	10-28 05:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+8,750	$5,781	4¢	$394	-$5,387	10-19 19:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+428	$295	67¢	$287	-$9	10-27 12:38
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$93	96¢	$96	+$3	09-13 14:20
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$6	4¢	$4	-$1	09-13 13:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$1,069	54¢	$0	+$1,069	10-22 14:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+0	$150	33¢	$0	-$150	10-27 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	27	$262.9K	158,437	158,437	+0	open	—	10-27 11:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$93.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	10-03 03:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	36	$73.7K	53,439	53,439	+0	open	—	10-22 14:12
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	7	$68.2K	38,342	38,342	+0	open	—	10-03 19:34
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	33	$67.7K	408,764	381,850	+26,914	open	—	10-28 05:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	26	$42.7K	43,688	43,688	+0	open	—	10-01 15:21
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	17	$38.2K	40,000	40,000	+0	Under	-$994	10-25 00:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	9	$24.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	10-27 04:57
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	2	$22.3K	28,267	28,267	+0	open	—	10-02 05:52
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	13	$22.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	+$17	09-19 06:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	7	$21.9K	22,925	0	+22,925	open	—	10-26 22:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$10.8K	42,000	42,000	+0	Yes	-$130	10-08 17:24
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	14	$9.4K	14,616	14,616	+0	open	—	10-01 04:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	15	$9.1K	15,428	15,000	+428	open	—	10-27 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$6.2K	8,072	8,072	+0	open	—	10-16 22:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$6.0K	9,084	334	+8,750	open	—	10-19 19:16
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	11	$5.4K	7,689	311	+7,377	No change	-$1,231	10-01 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	3	$2.7K	1,435	1,435	+0	Yes	+$34	10-10 13:34
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	6	$2.5K	3,801	3,801	+0	open	—	10-03 06:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	9	$2.3K	5,040	5,040	+0	open	—	10-03 10:47
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	10-24 06:17
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	11	$880	1,000	1,000	+0	LYON	+$0	10-24 20:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	9	$721	988	988	+0	open	—	10-16 20:23
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?	1	$420	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$580	09-20 16:53
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	2	$235	301	301	+0	open	—	10-02 05:34
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	5	$225	361	361	+0	open	—	10-02 05:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	09-18 15:11
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$99	200	0	+200	open	—	09-13 14:20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$81	160	0	+160	Yes	-$1	09-13 13:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	09-18 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:31:55	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	7¢	$210	0xf0c895…
10-28 04:21:19	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x99f4af…
10-28 03:29:31	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x0882ce…
10-28 00:30:24	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0xc09119…
10-28 00:29:42	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0x929b9f…
10-28 00:29:08	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0x82c7b0…
10-28 00:28:35	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0xcecfd0…
10-28 00:28:26	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$600	0x246d4a…
10-28 00:28:03	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,945	6¢	$1,077	0xe5be69…
10-28 00:08:20	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xcae2b9…
10-27 23:30:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0xb6031a…
10-27 23:15:00	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x176d25…
10-27 20:47:02	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xaee0e3…
10-27 20:45:23	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	326	7¢	$23	0x58f299…
10-27 20:18:24	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	893	7¢	$62	0x696304…
10-27 20:13:56	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xe898a7…
10-27 20:11:33	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x14b87f…
10-27 20:01:12	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	465	7¢	$33	0x02be29…
10-27 19:51:44	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100,000	6¢	$6,000	0x6a5267…
10-27 19:45:36	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50,000	6¢	$3,000	0x53fad6…
10-27 19:30:08	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26,545	6¢	$1,593	0x53774c…
10-27 19:15:26	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23,455	6¢	$1,407	0x847b47…
10-27 19:14:33	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50,000	6¢	$3,000	0x23e88f…
10-27 19:13:57	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,424	6¢	$325	0xda2b23…
10-27 18:53:35	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x0e4814…
10-27 18:46:21	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,526	6¢	$512	0x0a78c8…
10-27 18:45:57	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43,101	6¢	$2,586	0x343ff2…
10-27 12:38:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	138	69¢	$95	0xd471f8…
10-27 12:38:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13,370	29¢	$3,877	0x7c12aa…
10-27 12:38:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x21e99d…
10-27 11:57:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	103,506	93¢	$96,261	0x73faea…
10-27 11:52:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,494	93¢	$1,389	0x2f9207…
10-27 09:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105,000	93¢	$97,650	0x735001…
10-27 07:16:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0x78154b…
10-27 04:57:42	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11,068	39¢	$4,317	0xee4bc0…
10-26 22:04:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,533	95¢	$1,456	0x1d2d9f…
10-26 20:01:36	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xc32b5e…
10-26 19:59:12	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	8¢	$400	0xea872b…
10-26 17:59:06	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400,000	11¢	$44,000	0xa43d74…
10-26 17:07:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9d9423…
10-26 16:33:03	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x02d422…
10-26 16:29:21	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xcbe883…
10-26 16:08:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x31a8a6…
10-26 15:25:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5acf6f…
10-26 14:06:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x344c45…
10-26 14:05:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	550	96¢	$528	0x812b5a…
10-26 14:05:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,618	96¢	$1,553	0x9043ba…
10-26 14:05:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7f143b…
10-26 14:05:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	16,276	96¢	$15,602	0x5f39cb…
10-26 14:03:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,832	95¢	$2,694	0x64ac93…
10-26 13:49:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	29¢	$14	0x9e25ec…
10-26 13:01:41	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	938	37¢	$346	0x533718…
10-26 13:01:41	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11,511	37¢	$4,255	0x193bb0…
10-26 12:39:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x0def97…
10-26 09:13:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x666b86…
10-26 09:13:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6,448	39¢	$2,515	0x508ad4…
10-26 08:15:51	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x140604…
10-26 08:11:35	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xa4af64…
10-26 07:12:59	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x6c99d5…
10-26 01:59:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0x5c69dc…
10-26 01:35:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf810dd…
10-25 17:40:45	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	30,000	42¢	$12,540	0x035aa8…
10-25 00:54:15	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	1,233	46¢	$567	0x8e80eb…
10-25 00:54:15	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	2,098	46¢	$965	0x39dfcd…
10-25 00:53:47	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	300	46¢	$138	0xaae84b…
10-25 00:53:29	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	6,915	46¢	$3,181	0x9993c5…
10-25 00:52:38	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x18fba0…
10-25 00:52:02	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x11551a…
10-25 00:51:23	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	19,114	46¢	$8,793	0xb085cc…
10-25 00:08:57	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	300	48¢	$144	0xd9a838…
10-24 22:50:14	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0xc30b78…
10-24 22:50:08	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x55c05d…
10-24 22:43:48	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc67779…
10-24 22:35:06	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xa07366…
10-24 22:21:42	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xa9163f…
10-24 22:20:26	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x278985…
10-24 22:20:24	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	75	48¢	$36	0xe6d5f6…
10-24 22:20:24	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	9,758	48¢	$4,684	0x558035…
10-24 22:14:33	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	40,000	49¢	$19,600	0x988e8e…
10-24 21:04:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xe16413…
10-24 20:35:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xe786d8…
10-24 20:35:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	52	44¢	$23	0xc39450…
10-24 20:35:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	159	44¢	$70	0x8903dd…
10-24 20:35:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x061ebb…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	273	44¢	$120	0xe69676…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0x552bba…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	279	44¢	$123	0x2e6a10…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0x286705…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0x1c4bd8…
10-24 20:35:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	62	44¢	$27	0x13492f…
10-24 20:11:59	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x5b5d01…
10-24 17:08:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	935	29¢	$271	0x3bbe61…
10-24 06:17:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,352	74¢	$1,000	0xde3527…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,352	74¢	$1,000	0xf708cd…
10-23 17:07:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xc3d943…
10-22 16:55:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,000	30¢	$4,500	0x6af435…
10-22 14:12:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	41,812	70¢	$29,268	0xe4fac7…
10-22 13:59:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd79b52…
10-22 13:59:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0xf40df8…
10-22 13:49:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x38214c…