Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
20.3%
Resolved
135
Trades
176
lifetime
Volume
$473
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$115
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 09-30 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
69% 17% -$57
Politics
23% 15% -$42
Sports
4% 0% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$5
Crypto
2% 60% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +417 $59 8¢ $31 -$28 09-18 23:37
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +100 $21 19¢ $19 -$2 09-30 00:50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +446 $33 4¢ $18 -$16 09-14 13:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $10 16¢ $10 -$1 05-09 12:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +187 $20 4¢ $7 -$13 06-26 13:32
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +7 $5 77¢ $5 +$1 09-16 00:26
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 06-18 10:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 09-30 00:43
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +30 $9 11¢ $3 -$6 08-28 08:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 -$1 09-30 00:40
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +66 $5 5¢ $3 -$2 05-18 13:05
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +30 $5 9¢ $3 -$3 08-21 22:58
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$3 08-21 23:03
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 26¢ $2 -$1 09-01 03:58