(anonymous) 0x9e1622…7e7a42
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Realized P&L
-$261
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
2,869
Trades
4,362
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$158
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-29 03:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
74% 49% -$27
Politics
11% 52% -$18
Sports
11% 43% -$150
Crypto
4% 48% -$60
Tech
1% 33% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-03 07:03
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$1 10-06 17:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 09-27 11:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 10-06 02:58
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 10-16 16:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 10-12 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 09-04 20:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 10-19 16:39
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 09-12 08:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 09-05 03:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 08-27 08:58
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 10-22 09:26
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 09-11 13:22
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 09-02 09:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 10-05 01:28
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 10-22 19:25
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-06 15:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 09-14 21:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 10-04 06:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 09-20 18:08
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-17 20:08
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 09-14 01:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 09-29 21:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 09-14 20:19
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$1 10-09 04:25
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $5 +$1 10-11 13:01
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 10-08 07:44
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$1 09-09 14:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 09-28 09:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-07 20:14