Nutty-Placebo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

305

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$827

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-21 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

88% 73% +$24

Crypto

7% 35% -$9

Sports

5% 61% -$4

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 10 2026 22corhigher	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-10 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	4	$18	39	37	+2	No	+$13	04-25 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 6?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-06 14:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?	4	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	-$1	05-01 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 10:49
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 22c	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-18 08:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	5	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	04-26 16:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 21c	4	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 08:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 01:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	4	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-03 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-02 02:52
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 15c	2	$7	13	13	+1	No	+$0	04-01 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?	2	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	4	$7	6	4	+2	No	+$1	05-15 13:42
atp paris simakin 2026 04 05	4	$6	5	5	+0	Ilia Simakin	+$0	04-06 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$1	05-05 09:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	3	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-09 12:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	04-23 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-20 11:23
mlb sf sd 2026 03 31	4	$6	5	4	+0	San Francisco Giants	$0	04-01 05:00
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	4	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 03:25
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 14c	2	$5	10	9	+0	No	-$2	04-01 11:38
highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 19c	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-29 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:41
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	3	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 09:44
highest temperature in beijing on march 28 2026 22c	4	$5	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-28 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-20 11:23
nba sas lac 2026 04 02	2	$5	3	3	+0	Spurs	+$1	04-03 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	3	$4	6	3	+3	No	+$1	05-16 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x79cad6…
05-21 06:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x342f62…
05-21 06:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x463b65…
05-21 06:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x25d0a4…
05-21 05:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0ec3f7…
05-21 05:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	No	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0xa53bf4…
05-21 04:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1ee1d…
05-21 04:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xe5bdeb…
05-20 11:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x214ce9…
05-20 11:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb90d0e…
05-20 11:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7b354a…
05-20 07:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?	No	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x389ae0…
05-20 06:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x2e20a5…
05-20 06:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x9de75a…
05-20 06:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc97923…
05-20 05:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe8d722…
05-20 04:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x88b31d…
05-20 04:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x10fa82…
05-20 03:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x07bdb2…
05-20 02:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x347803…
05-20 02:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe81ad3…
05-20 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xca6a3f…
05-20 01:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb91ca1…
05-20 00:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x311a18…
05-20 00:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb78142…
05-19 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcd9181…
05-19 14:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x289034…
05-19 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1dc025…
05-19 13:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb22485…
05-19 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa1adcd…
05-19 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbe2983…
05-19 13:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb1eab9…
05-19 13:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x252efa…
05-19 09:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe54574…
05-19 07:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x166d3f…
05-17 06:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x02dc23…
05-17 06:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x205632…
05-17 06:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2bbc7e…
05-17 05:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x730155…
05-17 04:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2f10cf…
05-17 04:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x0dfdc9…
05-17 03:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xab9fc0…
05-17 01:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5560c0…
05-17 01:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xad958a…
05-16 12:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x610018…
05-16 08:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x424f48…
05-16 06:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0b19e4…
05-16 05:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3fb35…
05-16 03:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x23050a…
05-16 02:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbcbcb3…
05-16 02:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd6b334…
05-16 00:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xb92bcc…
05-15 13:45:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xce880e…
05-15 13:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb4cec1…
05-15 10:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa9411…
05-15 10:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x933d4d…
05-15 10:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6d017…
05-15 10:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x081179…
05-15 07:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbaba1d…
05-15 07:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc84b6a…
05-15 06:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe01ba2…
05-15 06:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2cf437…
05-15 06:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x82f4d5…
05-15 06:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1224dd…
05-15 03:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x61f901…
05-15 03:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x104c0b…
05-14 16:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x9e977e…
05-14 14:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6222eb…
05-14 13:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2f89de…
05-14 11:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d5146…
05-14 11:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x268e50…
05-14 11:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe785a…
05-14 11:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc61d78…
05-14 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1fe81a…
05-14 07:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe11e2c…
05-14 05:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa7d85d…
05-14 04:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b8257…
05-14 04:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x821ac2…
05-14 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa89be2…
05-14 04:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0d19e8…
05-13 11:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf8943f…
05-13 10:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8ec9e7…
05-13 10:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x7a9a0f…
05-13 10:53:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xfad7d5…
05-13 08:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd4931d…
05-13 07:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x844846…
05-13 07:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x1f19f3…
05-13 06:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbf367a…
05-13 06:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xda2f5e…
05-13 03:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xfbcd1d…
05-13 02:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcaa7fc…
05-13 02:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa2c6e1…
05-13 02:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9d71aa…
05-12 15:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x79ece0…
05-12 15:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x99808b…
05-12 15:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3f599…
05-12 14:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x348230…
05-12 13:58:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x4b795a…
05-12 13:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5d6f3e…
05-12 13:22:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x3297df…