(anonymous) 0x9faecd…5de3f9
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved (90d)
22
Trades (90d)
481
481 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.40K
$7.40K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-31 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
71% 86% +$13
Other
27% 57% -$27
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 10-11 17:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$0 10-12 06:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 $0 10-12 06:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $74 57¢ $60 -$14 10-25 18:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +75 $47 72¢ $54 +$7 10-27 02:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75 $49 72¢ $54 +$5 10-30 12:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +104 $29 42¢ $44 +$16 10-25 12:18
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +60 $38 66¢ $39 +$1 10-31 00:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $28 72¢ $31 +$4 10-23 23:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $11 100¢ $30 +$19 10-16 07:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $37 29¢ $30 -$7 10-27 14:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +30 $28 100¢ $30 +$2 10-21 21:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +105 $34 29¢ $30 -$4 10-29 16:18
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-24 19:34
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 10-20 14:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-23 16:11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-25 22:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-24 11:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-20 09:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 10-28 19:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 10-28 19:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +30 $23 90¢ $27 +$4 10-20 02:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$0 10-23 19:34
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +75 $28 34¢ $26 -$2 10-31 00:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +30 $27 84¢ $25 -$2 10-15 01:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 72¢ $21 -$1 10-27 15:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $20 65¢ $19 -$1 10-27 13:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +30 $18 64¢ $19 +$1 10-30 14:50
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +30 $18 64¢ $19 +$1 10-31 08:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +30 $20 62¢ $19 -$2 10-29 10:46