Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
34
Trades
515
lifetime
Volume
$7.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-11
last 11-01 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
72% 85% +$41
Other
26% 69% -$27
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 10-11 17:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 10-12 06:36
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 +$0 10-12 06:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $74 62¢ $64 -$9 10-25 18:03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +90 $58 66¢ $60 +$2 10-31 16:16
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75 $49 72¢ $54 +$5 10-30 12:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +75 $47 70¢ $53 +$6 10-27 02:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +74 $49 70¢ $52 +$3 10-31 15:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +104 $29 38¢ $39 +$11 10-25 12:18
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +60 $38 66¢ $39 +$1 10-31 21:42
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +105 $37 34¢ $35 -$2 10-31 22:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $37 30¢ $31 -$6 10-27 14:09
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +60 $31 52¢ $31 +$0 10-31 12:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +105 $34 29¢ $30 -$4 10-29 16:18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 10-20 14:24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-24 19:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-23 16:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-24 11:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-25 22:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-20 09:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 10-28 19:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 10-28 19:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +30 $23 94¢ $28 +$5 10-20 02:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $26 88¢ $27 +$0 10-23 19:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +30 $27 84¢ $25 -$2 10-15 01:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +30 $24 82¢ $24 +$0 10-31 23:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 72¢ $22 $0 10-27 15:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +30 $19 70¢ $21 +$2 10-31 21:06
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-29 10:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +30 $19 68¢ $20 +$1 10-31 16:52