(anonymous) 0x9faecd…5de3f9
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved (7d)
15
Trades (7d)
187
399 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.98K
$6.71K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-28 20:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
71% 86% +$13
Other
28% 57% -$27
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$5 10-11 17:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 -$1 10-12 06:36
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $0 10-12 06:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +104 $69 68¢ $70 +$1 10-24 18:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $74 55¢ $57 -$17 10-25 18:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +75 $47 68¢ $51 +$5 10-27 02:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +104 $29 46¢ $47 +$19 10-25 12:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $37 32¢ $33 -$4 10-27 14:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $28 68¢ $30 +$2 10-23 23:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $11 100¢ $30 +$19 10-16 07:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +30 $28 99¢ $30 +$2 10-21 21:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-23 16:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 +$0 10-24 19:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-25 22:12
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +30 $29 97¢ $29 +$0 10-20 14:24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-20 09:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-24 11:49
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +30 $23 94¢ $28 +$5 10-20 02:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30 $28 92¢ $28 +$0 10-28 19:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $28 92¢ $28 +$0 10-28 19:17
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $26 86¢ $26 $0 10-23 19:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +30 $27 86¢ $26 -$1 10-15 01:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +75 $24 32¢ $24 +$0 10-23 09:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 70¢ $21 -$1 10-27 15:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $20 62¢ $19 -$2 10-27 13:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +30 $19 60¢ $18 -$1 10-23 15:49
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $19 58¢ $18 -$1 10-23 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $18 58¢ $18 $0 10-28 19:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +30 $18 52¢ $16 -$2 10-26 17:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +30 $16 52¢ $16 +$0 10-28 15:36