Realized P&L
+$312
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
236
Trades
563
lifetime
Volume
$3.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$54
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-27 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
72% 54% +$286
Politics
23% 47% +$20
Sports
3% 54% -$2
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$20
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +4 $1 98¢ $4 +$3 10-25 10:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +22 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 10-06 23:24
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 09-23 07:17
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$0 09-22 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8 $2 32¢ $3 +$1 09-25 22:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 09-22 05:27
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 09-22 07:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3 $3 68¢ $2 $0 09-22 22:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $2 79¢ $2 +$0 09-24 08:30
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $4 29¢ $2 -$2 09-28 06:39
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +3 $2 62¢ $2 $0 09-23 07:41
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +10 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 10-09 09:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 09-30 23:42
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +56 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 10-05 08:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 40¢ $2 +$0 09-25 19:24
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +7 $2 22¢ $1 $0 09-22 07:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 10-13 20:18
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:05
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-17 08:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-22 23:41
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 09-23 07:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2 $1 61¢ $1 +$0 10-14 22:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 09-22 04:25
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 10-23 07:42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-13 13:36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4 $2 30¢ $1 $0 09-25 12:32
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 10-22 21:59
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 10-13 02:59
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-23 07:44
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-23 07:45