Descriptive-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

18.2%

Resolved

254

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-18 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

94% 23% -$35

Crypto

3% 11% -$9

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Politics

1% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+3	$2	24¢	$1	-$1	05-18 12:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	88	$110	88	88	+0	No	-$2	05-11 01:26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	22	$28	17	17	+0	No	-$1	05-18 11:20
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	20	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 11:18
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-30?	11	$25	55	55	+0	No	-$1	04-30 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	10	$24	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	05-04 02:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?	8	$21	43	43	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 14:37
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	2	$19	32	32	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 14:36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?	9	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 19:50
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	13	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	05-18 13:37
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	5	$16	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 19:50
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	13	$15	396	396	+0	No	-$3	03-20 18:59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?	4	$15	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-30 19:49
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?	6	$15	14	14	+0	No	$0	05-03 18:13
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?	6	$14	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-03 16:00
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?	4	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-30 19:49
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	6	$14	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 15:30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	6	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 18:13
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-30 19:50
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?	4	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-30 19:49
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-14?	10	$11	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-14 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?	6	$11	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-04 02:14
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	4	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-03 14:30
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-03 14:15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-03 14:30
Exact Score: AJ Auxerre 1 - 0 Angers SCO?	4	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-03 14:15
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-03 16:42
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-03 16:00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 17:12
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-03?	4	$10	9	9	+0	No	$0	05-03 16:00
Will Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?	4	$10	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 13:37:36	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0xb5448a…
05-18 12:07:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xe3893c…
05-18 12:07:09	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x0c961c…
05-18 12:06:55	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf2dd71…
05-18 12:06:48	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xe89807…
05-18 12:06:29	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x717aaf…
05-18 11:20:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4f6224…
05-18 11:20:27	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xdc522a…
05-18 11:20:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9e3bb4…
05-18 11:20:13	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0d3f5a…
05-18 11:20:06	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xec6792…
05-18 11:19:51	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xca42c4…
05-18 11:19:44	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x810525…
05-18 11:19:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x253b57…
05-18 11:19:28	Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x295ab9…
05-18 11:19:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0fa3b4…
05-18 11:19:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x32d95f…
05-18 11:19:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdf9a40…
05-18 11:19:09	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x428e3d…
05-18 11:19:07	Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xddf84a…
05-18 11:19:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x33b8fe…
05-18 11:18:58	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x79bf0c…
05-18 11:18:55	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x24a275…
05-18 11:18:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc38639…
05-18 11:18:53	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4893ad…
05-18 11:18:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x063eab…
05-18 11:18:37	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfe0a89…
05-18 11:18:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc8fed0…
05-18 11:18:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x197d24…
05-18 11:18:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x990ac1…
05-18 11:18:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8667ef…
05-18 11:18:28	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4327f7…
05-18 11:18:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2a55da…
05-18 11:18:18	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x232770…
05-18 11:18:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xa7015f…
05-18 11:18:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xad639b…
05-18 11:18:09	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf391f7…
05-18 11:18:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x464de1…
05-18 11:17:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa50036…
05-18 11:17:59	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x815955…
05-18 11:17:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x22e041…
05-18 11:17:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd608d4…
05-18 11:17:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8ceb5c…
05-18 11:17:50	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x525b2b…
05-18 11:17:39	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xebafd8…
05-18 11:17:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd66287…
05-18 11:17:38	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x3445b0…
05-18 11:17:36	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xa1cb04…
05-18 11:17:31	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4347ab…
05-18 11:17:29	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xb83abf…
05-18 11:17:29	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x297f7d…
05-18 11:17:27	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xaf29e6…
05-18 11:17:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc01fc5…
05-18 11:17:22	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x205cac…
05-18 11:17:20	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x266c7a…
05-18 11:17:20	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x256492…
05-18 11:17:04	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed9a2b…
05-18 11:17:04	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdb198d…
05-18 11:17:03	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xcd9885…
05-18 11:17:03	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xbee998…
05-18 11:16:52	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf114ee…
05-18 11:16:52	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x26c6cb…
05-18 11:09:19	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe2317d…
05-18 11:09:05	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5cc2c5…
05-18 11:09:00	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc3e422…
05-18 11:08:46	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x526c28…
05-18 11:08:39	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x345a95…
05-18 11:08:39	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x2fb7f7…
05-18 11:08:26	Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x570fa8…
05-18 11:08:23	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x52f229…
05-18 11:08:21	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x715f27…
05-17 17:52:28	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x7b4e73…
05-17 17:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x5ff94d…
05-17 17:50:55	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	2,850	0¢	$3	0xb411d7…
05-17 17:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x197f5a…
05-17 17:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x25922e…
05-17 17:50:06	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1,620	0¢	$2	0x38e7ee…
05-17 17:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xe1b0ac…
05-17 17:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,620	0¢	$2	0x6c72f7…
05-17 17:50:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,620	0¢	$2	0x703312…
05-17 17:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2690c8…
05-16 20:23:50	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcf019b…
05-16 20:23:48	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbc89ee…
05-16 20:22:54	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xabc59d…
05-15 14:32:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x890371…
05-15 14:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x6d7165…
05-15 14:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf89ff8…
05-15 13:28:57	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x79bdde…
05-15 13:28:44	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x6e2c14…
05-15 13:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xbc39fd…
05-15 11:39:38	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xa67418…
05-15 11:33:13	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe39ac4…
05-15 11:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x31e233…
05-15 11:33:13	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1416cc…
05-15 11:33:07	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc4784…
05-15 03:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x3167f8…
05-15 03:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0af266…
05-15 03:13:02	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d1e56…
05-15 01:49:56	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xf257da…
05-15 01:49:39	Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-05-14?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x1fd916…