Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

3,861 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$13.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 08-21 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

77% 71% -$360

Politics

12% 71% -$22

Sports

10% 69% +$560

Crypto

1% 89% +$13

Tech

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes		-4	-$4	96¢	$-4	$0	08-21 03:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$470	1,000	0	+1,000	Minnesota Twins	+$530	05-23 05:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	7	$266	300	300	+0	Down	+$0	04-24 05:11
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	3	$245	147	146	+1	Hornets	+$47	04-15 02:25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	2	$168	195	195	+0	Monte	+$0	04-26 06:53
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	53	$139	180	139	+41	No	+$8	05-16 22:45
wti up or down on april 23 2026	2	$122	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 07:51
spy up or down on april 17 2026	2	$117	100	100	+0	Up	-$1	04-17 03:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	4	$109	100	100	+0	Up	-$3	04-27 02:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	42	$108	118	118	+0	No	+$4	06-24 18:45
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	31	$97	506	506	+0	No	-$2	05-15 17:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	33	$93	135	95	+40	No	+$14	06-02 02:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	31	$87	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-12 11:22
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	41	$77	297	290	+7	No	+$8	05-16 22:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	36	$75	68	68	+0	Yes	+$5	06-14 21:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	31	$70	128	104	+24	Yes	-$7	06-17 06:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$69	73	65	+8	Yes	+$1	06-17 17:28
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	10	$63	35	55	-20	Spurs	+$6	04-26 23:01
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	15	$62	58	57	+1	Aurora	+$3	04-26 10:44
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	11	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 22:13
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	19	$59	37	37	+0	No	-$8	04-16 13:11
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	11	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 03:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$57	30	27	+3	Yes	$0	04-22 17:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$57	39	39	+0	No	$0	08-13 14:20
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 22:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	33	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	08-21 03:23
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	11	$50	51	50	+1	BetBoom Team	$0	04-25 14:51
lol ig1 tes 2026 04 13	1	$50	83	0	+83	Invictus Gaming	-$50	04-14 10:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$49	83	78	+5	Yes	+$1	05-08 19:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	24	$48	65	53	+12	No	+$7	04-30 20:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	15	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-11 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 03:23:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xfe52fd…
08-21 03:23:16	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xb6bdc4…
08-21 03:23:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x7ae144…
08-21 03:23:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4603e3…
08-21 03:23:16	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x13a513…
08-21 03:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xec4257…
08-21 03:23:15	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd79eca…
08-21 03:23:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xc91c4f…
08-21 03:23:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x9fd196…
08-21 03:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x85a909…
08-21 03:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on August 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a95ee…
08-21 03:23:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x59d58b…
08-21 03:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x5171b9…
08-21 03:23:15	Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 BMW Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e7de6…
08-21 03:23:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x35eaae…
08-21 03:23:15	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x0ca4fd…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or below on August 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe368cf…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdea60e…
08-21 03:23:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xd9ce27…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb60fcd…
08-21 03:23:13	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb5f6a6…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9427f8…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75af89…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3f8710…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x345396…
08-21 03:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2f906d…
08-21 03:23:13	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x2c0d5a…
08-21 03:23:13	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0e74a1…
08-21 03:23:12	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xeea2fa…
08-21 03:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7a1a45…
08-21 03:23:12	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x62b982…
08-21 03:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on August 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ce4fb…
08-21 03:23:12	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x367717…
08-21 03:23:12	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x11a1e7…
08-21 03:23:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa52e76…
08-20 23:48:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x76ac26…
08-20 23:48:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x4010d0…
08-20 23:39:09	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x18789a…
08-20 23:38:48	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3f4b7e…
08-20 23:19:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xe0ba3a…
08-20 23:10:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x94b2ae…
08-20 23:10:27	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xe455c0…
08-20 23:07:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xf754ea…
08-20 21:59:01	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xede4f6…
08-20 21:55:40	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x343133…
08-20 20:32:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf9e34…
08-20 19:29:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdd02e1…
08-20 17:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3b1e3a…
08-20 14:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1d768…
08-20 13:56:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x85384a…
08-20 13:25:57	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x44ebc6…
08-20 13:18:22	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc1a7a4…
08-20 13:10:34	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0a6151…
08-20 12:15:10	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb0edde…
08-20 12:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbcb452…
08-20 11:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xfdc3f0…
08-20 11:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34eb74…
08-20 08:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a3faa…
08-20 06:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x698ecd…
08-20 04:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x654e95…
08-20 04:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf9e90…
08-20 04:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x469c59…
08-20 00:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xacb571…
08-20 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb66db8…
08-19 23:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa551aa…
08-19 22:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bf269…
08-19 21:13:51	Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 BMW Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42f934…
08-19 19:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1dacf8…
08-19 16:52:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x77d96f…
08-19 12:37:58	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x27e1fb…
08-18 20:10:54	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeac2bc…
08-18 16:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c8ff5…
08-18 14:12:28	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4f6b53…
08-18 14:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa34ac7…
08-18 13:31:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x84f6e0…
08-18 11:11:24	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x734bce…
08-18 09:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3894d2…
08-17 20:55:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x6bf447…
08-17 11:00:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x703b64…
08-17 11:00:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x940250…
08-17 10:39:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9af9b8…
08-17 09:49:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf98a72…
08-16 22:49:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0df123…
08-16 22:47:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7b8fc2…
08-16 12:28:10	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddb1f9…
08-15 20:25:37	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6a72e…
08-15 14:36:34	Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x434ab5…
08-13 14:20:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0x4a9369…
08-13 13:50:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xe1d350…
08-13 13:50:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x557c92…
08-13 13:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc57894…
08-13 13:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb616a5…
08-13 13:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb1fb54…
08-13 13:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa9dfe0…
08-13 13:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x44eb42…
08-13 13:50:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xac3164…
08-13 13:50:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x8bb3dc…
08-13 13:50:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x7bf3ab…
08-13 08:06:00	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xbbf09c…
08-13 07:53:36	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4f997c…