Scrawny-Reporter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$266

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved (90d)

1,292

Trades (90d)

1,751

5,064 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$39.6K

$85.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$74

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-30 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

82% 58% -$280

Politics

18% 70% +$382

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	-65	-$56	98¢	$-63	-$7	10-19 04:44
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	82¢	$5	$0	10-24 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-18	-$3	18¢	$-3	-$1	10-19 04:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	-1	-$1	88¢	$-1	+$0	10-19 04:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	10-19 04:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-2	$0	14¢	$-0	$0	10-19 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$3.7K	2,018	2,008	+10	No	+$234	04-28 04:04
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	23	$1.3K	825	818	+7	Yes	+$86	06-03 11:26
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	5	$1.2K	741	729	+13	Yes	+$5	05-06 05:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	6	$905	498	493	+5	No	+$60	04-28 04:02
will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	8	$879	501	494	+7	Yes	-$64	04-20 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$857	476	476	+0	No	+$47	05-16 05:40
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	10	$857	460	459	+1	No	+$11	05-06 05:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$702	443	402	+41	Yes	+$141	04-08 14:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$687	379	375	+4	No	+$59	04-28 04:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$571	322	318	+3	No	+$57	04-26 04:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$539	295	292	+3	No	+$42	04-22 06:03
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$511	266	266	+0	Yes	+$11	04-15 05:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$498	281	281	+0	No	-$2	05-16 05:41
Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?	3	$419	218	218	+0	Yes	+$17	05-06 05:26
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$393	390	125	+265	No	-$207	04-25 06:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$364	223	223	+0	No	+$4	05-30 11:23
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	4	$364	200	192	+8	No	+$9	05-06 05:24
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$358	195	189	+6	Yes	+$17	05-06 05:24
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$340	194	194	+0	Yes	+$40	04-12 18:43
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	4	$302	432	0	+432	Yes	-$302	04-30 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$296	183	183	+0	No	+$10	05-16 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	5	$296	308	7	+301	Yes	+$13	05-08 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	5	$279	151	145	+6	Yes	+$15	05-09 10:22
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	4	$277	214	156	+58	Yes	+$35	06-01 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 9?	11	$259	133	133	+0	Yes	+$3	05-09 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?	8	$257	171	171	+0	Yes	+$81	10-21 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20?	6	$248	158	158	+0	Yes	+$65	10-21 04:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$239	224	168	+56	Yes	-$61	05-30 11:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$230	124	121	+2	No	+$12	04-28 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?	3	$223	145	145	+0	No	+$64	10-21 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xde62e7…
10-30 10:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x60b363…
10-30 10:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x46694a…
10-30 10:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xb4171c…
10-30 10:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x5ce41d…
10-30 10:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x62e724…
10-30 10:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x134d08…
10-30 10:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x308fc0…
10-30 10:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x70e3d6…
10-30 10:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xce63fc…
10-30 10:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xb4b1ae…
10-30 10:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 31?	No	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x17cc73…
10-30 10:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0x5b3ba2…
10-30 10:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x07174c…
10-30 10:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x2533cd…
10-30 10:13:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xa8d378…
10-30 10:13:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x724685…
10-29 16:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x55e117…
10-29 13:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf7bf9c…
10-29 11:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xd82070…
10-29 11:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x793937…
10-29 11:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	48	44¢	$21	0x2e22b8…
10-29 11:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x9376aa…
10-29 11:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x60cf09…
10-29 11:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x4ae960…
10-29 10:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x101b1c…
10-29 10:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xcf9e76…
10-29 10:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x57abce…
10-29 10:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0x7633da…
10-29 10:54:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x07d680…
10-29 10:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0x3ecb42…
10-29 10:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x9ccad1…
10-29 10:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0x6a0bf0…
10-28 16:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x056253…
10-28 16:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0e16d3…
10-28 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2d5785…
10-28 16:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 29?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8daba1…
10-28 11:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x2dc31c…
10-28 10:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	46	73¢	$33	0x6bcc91…
10-28 10:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xf743eb…
10-28 10:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x1ee56b…
10-27 17:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x125eb2…
10-27 13:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	64¢	$33	0x937abe…
10-27 11:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xb5ab7d…
10-27 11:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf0d6af…
10-27 11:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x979d88…
10-27 11:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x220eb1…
10-27 11:31:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x2bacff…
10-26 10:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	67	49¢	$33	0x556caa…
10-26 10:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x61790b…
10-26 10:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0xc0be9b…
10-26 10:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb17aef…
10-26 10:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0x391f41…
10-26 10:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xed9818…
10-26 10:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1f615d…
10-26 10:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x412057…
10-26 10:39:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xa23f2e…
10-26 03:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xd68366…
10-25 15:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa00a39…
10-25 15:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x80aa23…
10-25 15:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x505102…
10-25 15:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe47202…
10-25 14:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x59bdfc…
10-25 14:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x309951…
10-25 14:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xf73bbb…
10-25 13:40:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x0ff2fa…
10-25 12:57:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3c583c…
10-25 12:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x701995…
10-25 12:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x9953ae…
10-25 12:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x876585…
10-25 12:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x2c4a40…
10-25 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb38f66…
10-25 12:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x9ede88…
10-25 12:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0bc3a4…
10-25 12:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbb339c…
10-25 12:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x4363de…
10-25 12:49:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xdf6922…
10-25 12:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7d576e…
10-25 12:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6ae43e…
10-25 12:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4f522a…
10-25 12:17:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0c2385…
10-25 12:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x684c43…
10-25 12:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd78a76…
10-25 12:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb5cc9d…
10-25 12:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xf6e478…
10-25 12:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x97492b…
10-25 12:05:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x877fe9…
10-25 11:31:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xecf95c…
10-25 11:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	61	71¢	$43	0x40fd78…
10-25 11:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x336f6d…
10-25 11:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	67	66¢	$44	0xee4801…
10-25 11:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	71	62¢	$44	0x77d0bf…
10-25 11:21:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x50222d…
10-25 11:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	70	63¢	$44	0x619e57…
10-25 11:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0xae616c…
10-25 11:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0x65efa4…
10-25 11:14:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x96b84f…
10-25 11:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x88155c…
10-25 11:10:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0xc03e2b…
10-25 11:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0xbd1141…