General-Scientist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

296

Trades

443

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-20 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 75% -$33

Politics

18% 33% -$14

Other

12% 44% -$1

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$88	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 06:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$58	47	47	+0	Yes	-$1	05-15 08:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$29	41	41	+0	open	—	05-14 05:48
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	7	$24	24	24	+0	cancelled	$0	05-16 04:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	6	$23	56	56	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-05 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$22	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-17 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Up	-$9	05-20 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	-$7	05-20 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$19	38	38	+0	Down	-$6	05-20 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$15	19	9	+10	Down	-$5	05-04 10:21
US recession by end of 2026?	5	$15	32	32	+0	open	—	05-15 10:39
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$14	14	3	+10	Up	-$1	05-20 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$14	17	0	+17	Down	+$3	05-20 04:29
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$13	20	20	+0	No	-$3	05-14 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	05-20 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	05-20 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	05-20 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$13	12	3	+10	Up	-$1	05-20 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$13	12	3	+9	Up	-$1	05-20 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$2	05-20 19:44
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	6	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-20 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Up	+$2	05-20 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-20 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-20 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-20 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 23:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x753ae9…
05-20 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x7dc955…
05-20 23:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa6d4f2…
05-20 23:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x8105d8…
05-20 22:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaefbd1…
05-20 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe61bbd…
05-20 22:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x5ed3f9…
05-20 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x061cee…
05-20 22:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x082441…
05-20 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x25b07b…
05-20 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x22946f…
05-20 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x9e1dc5…
05-20 22:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2c2d82…
05-20 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x9b1634…
05-20 22:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1f2d07…
05-20 21:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x56f4cf…
05-20 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa7abd7…
05-20 21:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x94cb00…
05-20 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xcd3ed7…
05-20 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x086523…
05-20 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x15518b…
05-20 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x06b869…
05-20 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xaea885…
05-20 21:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x105f6f…
05-20 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x43b432…
05-20 21:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5c9940…
05-20 20:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf5e5a7…
05-20 20:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1c58e7…
05-20 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x6c9c0b…
05-20 20:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x8f99fc…
05-20 20:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32ff1d…
05-20 20:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x24ec70…
05-20 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x70109f…
05-20 20:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1e61e5…
05-20 19:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe14d37…
05-20 19:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x41a57e…
05-20 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x977d43…
05-20 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x297f23…
05-20 19:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x5fbeba…
05-20 19:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5d4cf4…
05-20 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x063633…
05-20 19:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x740d49…
05-20 19:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x676a28…
05-20 19:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf09a9c…
05-20 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd9488a…
05-20 18:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x89690d…
05-20 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7e2823…
05-20 18:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0xd42240…
05-20 18:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf7e95f…
05-20 18:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb9bb42…
05-20 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x4438b9…
05-20 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x40b48c…
05-20 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdfc1d2…
05-20 18:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x1902e5…
05-20 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa7c421…
05-20 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0x373d44…
05-20 18:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xe77261…
05-20 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2a4014…
05-20 17:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x6c1030…
05-20 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xfdeb53…
05-20 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x6d280f…
05-20 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6d443c…
05-20 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x42b862…
05-20 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xc5bb73…
05-20 17:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86c3d7…
05-20 17:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x6f8b09…
05-20 17:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xaa5fbc…
05-20 17:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdccf46…
05-20 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xa40c87…
05-20 16:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x7b4df9…
05-20 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xcca530…
05-20 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xca3475…
05-20 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3811e4…
05-20 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9f502f…
05-20 16:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf9b0fc…
05-20 16:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa5f961…
05-20 16:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x31349f…
05-20 15:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd4b60e…
05-20 15:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd36ff6…
05-20 14:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x726382…
05-20 14:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x872875…
05-20 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x72fea3…
05-20 14:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xf7c4ed…
05-20 14:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9a7940…
05-20 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6fbb02…
05-20 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xafcb35…
05-20 13:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd6164…
05-20 13:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5cf163…
05-20 13:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9bb293…
05-20 13:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x36e2a4…
05-20 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x3cc996…
05-20 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc95514…
05-20 12:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x44e72f…
05-20 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xd5aded…
05-20 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x96c312…
05-20 11:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb0b338…
05-20 11:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xeb1609…
05-20 09:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x7d9608…
05-20 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x07d48b…
05-20 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1c4ef9…