Pale-Chronograph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-20 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 67% $-8

Other

24% 100% +$7

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	6	$307	282	282	+0	open	—	06-11 20:04
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	3	$206	124	124	+0	open	—	06-12 07:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$146	108	108	+0	open	—	06-08 12:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$145	167	167	+0	open	—	06-18 07:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$126	50	110	-60	open	—	06-01 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$120	70	70	+0	open	—	06-18 07:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$119	64	64	+0	open	—	06-20 07:38
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	4	$116	72	72	+0	open	—	04-19 07:10
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$115	217	217	+0	open	—	06-16 08:08
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	3	$101	214	214	+0	open	—	03-16 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$93	67	36	+32	open	—	05-07 08:37
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$87	51	51	+0	Yes	+$7	04-20 10:31
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$85	53	53	+0	open	—	01-30 16:24
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$83	88	0	+88	open	—	03-01 12:42
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$81	90	7	+83	open	—	03-21 09:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$80	41	41	-0	open	—	06-10 17:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$79	46	46	+0	open	—	06-18 07:43
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	5	$68	75	29	+46	open	—	03-19 12:14
will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$64	69	0	+69	open	—	03-25 19:03
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	2	$63	45	45	+0	No	+$3	04-23 09:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	2	$63	66	66	+0	open	—	06-11 20:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$61	34	34	+0	open	—	06-04 07:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-18 09:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	2	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	01-31 09:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$60	64	0	+64	open	—	06-01 07:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$55	32	32	+0	open	—	02-01 13:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$54	63	63	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$52	104	104	+0	open	—	06-09 18:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-20 09:20
Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	2	$49	57	0	+57	Yes	+$8	04-26 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 07:38:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xa1b734…
06-18 07:43:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	46	83¢	$38	0x09797c…
06-18 07:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0x6f1f78…
06-18 07:42:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	167	39¢	$65	0x641126…
06-16 08:08:12	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	217	30¢	$65	0x7dc77c…
06-15 15:00:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x53f11f…
06-15 14:52:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0x17333d…
06-12 07:34:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	124	85¢	$106	0x40d325…
06-11 20:15:06	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	66	50¢	$33	0x6e4c32…
06-11 20:05:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x500a95…
06-11 20:04:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	118	49¢	$58	0x1151c3…
06-11 08:26:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	63	43¢	$27	0xd1e169…
06-11 08:25:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x770722…
06-11 08:22:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x175315…
06-10 17:59:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x9ffe0b…
06-09 18:41:07	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	104	26¢	$27	0xa312e0…
06-08 12:32:01	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xa8e54e…
06-08 12:25:45	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0xbb018c…
06-08 12:21:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0x0cdd0c…
06-08 07:27:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xc52daf…
06-07 13:21:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	63	43¢	$27	0x5724f3…
06-07 13:13:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	39	69¢	$27	0x24e7ad…
06-06 08:05:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0x629760…
06-06 08:00:55	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x8807f4…
06-04 07:56:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x76d89e…
06-04 07:56:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x2aeed4…
06-02 19:19:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x0f7747…
06-01 16:25:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0xc45b3f…
06-01 16:22:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x55402e…
06-01 16:17:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	78¢	$86	0x0afdbb…
06-01 16:16:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0xdc21d8…
06-01 15:03:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdd3dbc…
06-01 15:02:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf8430a…
06-01 15:02:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x99e2fb…
06-01 15:01:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x0ae0ed…
06-01 14:59:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	84	66¢	$55	0x47ac62…
06-01 14:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x21b3de…
06-01 14:56:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x1800c4…
06-01 07:54:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x0005fb…
06-01 07:53:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xb9071f…
05-31 15:48:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x79489a…
05-30 13:48:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0xab14d0…
05-30 13:45:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1fc2d5…
05-27 08:24:17	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x96ece3…
05-26 13:17:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0xcbb8e6…
05-25 12:43:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x52fa6f…
05-20 09:22:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x15b61c…
05-20 09:20:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9960ff…
05-07 08:37:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x9fe866…
05-05 08:16:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x79d464…
04-30 06:19:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x4e136f…
04-28 08:09:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xce8ac4…
04-28 08:05:14	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xd7cc57…
04-26 07:35:08	Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$29	0x2801de…
04-25 07:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xf645fc…
04-23 10:56:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x76f150…
04-23 10:04:24	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x018799…
04-23 09:56:58	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0x473418…
04-22 07:56:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x783a09…
04-20 10:36:00	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xf281d3…
04-20 10:31:00	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x7b4ea8…
04-20 07:34:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe481a2…
04-19 13:28:24	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x3d0097…
04-19 07:23:40	Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xf7a412…
04-19 07:20:56	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xc79f41…
04-19 07:10:08	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x023fa7…
04-19 07:06:40	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe6ccaa…
04-18 09:49:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xb340a1…
04-12 15:22:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x0e4eb0…
04-12 15:15:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xfac08e…
04-10 12:39:43	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x328da4…
04-09 13:13:43	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x47e87c…
04-09 07:16:45	will christine frechette be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x115b87…
04-09 07:13:49	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x43f793…
04-09 07:06:31	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x316afc…
04-07 18:26:07	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x27914f…
04-01 08:26:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xca0fad…
03-28 20:01:36	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x678c2e…
03-26 17:11:45	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcdfa63…
03-25 19:03:37	will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xa20fd4…
03-25 19:01:29	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x744183…
03-25 17:41:09	will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xb4d5ed…
03-23 08:53:39	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xa3b628…
03-23 08:52:27	will beinir johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xead037…
03-23 08:50:29	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x640706…
03-23 08:47:35	will ftima tardo win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5f4116…
03-23 08:46:19	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x669bee…
03-23 08:43:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x543ac8…
03-23 08:41:25	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x58869e…
03-21 09:44:43	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x862266…
03-20 20:01:15	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0b0f8f…
03-20 19:57:27	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x75c515…
03-19 12:14:29	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x3bbec5…
03-19 07:23:33	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x980a65…
03-18 14:05:47	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x79b459…
03-18 14:04:27	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf426e2…
03-16 08:20:15	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x8fca81…
03-16 07:46:07	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	107	72¢	$78	0x60dccb…
03-13 08:10:49	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x97cb69…
03-13 08:08:51	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc880e6…