Pastel-Appointment 0xa58b30…e6ef84
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$330
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
65.3%
Resolved
722
Trades
1,853
lifetime
Volume
$63.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 09-17 08:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
58% 46% +$1,431
Politics
18% 59% +$424
Crypto
10% 62% -$1,762
Sports
8% 57% +$74
Tech
5% 64% +$155
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $176 95¢ $190 +$14 06-03 17:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +200 $164 94¢ $189 +$25 08-11 14:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $136 92¢ $185 +$49 06-21 11:27
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $160 90¢ $181 +$21 06-25 09:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +200 $130 86¢ $173 +$43 06-04 18:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -200 -$158 83¢ $-165 -$7 06-24 21:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $146 62¢ $125 -$21 05-19 16:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +200 $122 56¢ $111 -$11 05-30 15:07
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +100 $91 96¢ $96 +$6 06-15 20:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +100 $56 96¢ $96 +$40 07-03 22:26
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $45 96¢ $96 +$51 06-19 01:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $43 92¢ $92 +$49 06-08 03:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $108 32¢ $65 -$43 05-26 09:38
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 -$1 06-07 18:04
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +50 $28 100¢ $50 +$21 07-07 11:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$6 07-01 19:55
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $36 98¢ $49 +$13 07-07 11:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $40 96¢ $48 +$8 06-07 23:57
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +200 $160 22¢ $44 -$116 04-30 09:50
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +40 $36 98¢ $39 +$3 04-29 18:13
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 05-26 14:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +50 $22 66¢ $33 +$11 06-03 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $94 16¢ $33 -$61 06-04 09:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +200 $58 14¢ $27 -$31 06-22 11:54
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +50 $24 46¢ $23 $0 06-20 14:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +30 $20 71¢ $21 +$1 05-21 14:36
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 05-21 12:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $19 38¢ $19 +$1 06-23 13:01
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 92¢ $18 +$4 06-03 18:49
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +200 $64 9¢ $18 -$46 05-01 16:16