Realized P&L
+$158
Unrealized P&L
-$111
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
740
lifetime
Volume
$25.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$939
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-09 14:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
38% 67% +$123
Politics
28% 100% +$34
Crypto
18%
Tech
10%
Sports
5%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-196 98¢ $-197 $-1 06-05 16:03
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Yes -200 $-195 98¢ $-196 $-1 06-05 16:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $94 44¢ $89 $-5 06-04 09:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +100 $83 83¢ $83 $-0 06-08 00:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $54 56¢ $56 +$2 06-04 08:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 06-04 21:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $43 44¢ $44 +$1 06-08 03:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +200 $50 20¢ $41 $-9 05-29 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $62 18¢ $35 $-27 05-30 12:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +50 $32 70¢ $35 +$2 06-01 11:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $31 82¢ $33 +$2 06-03 18:56
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +40 $23 59¢ $24 +$1 06-04 06:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $66 10¢ $19 $-47 05-30 10:39
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 75¢ $15 +$0 06-03 18:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +20 $10 57¢ $12 +$1 06-04 17:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-0 06-04 11:59
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $6 28¢ $6 $-0 06-08 17:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-03 16:14
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +100 $32 $0 $-32 05-31 04:58