Pastel-Appointment 0xa58b30…e6ef84
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$158
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
827
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.01K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-25 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
41% 67% +$123
Politics
28% 100% +$34
Crypto
16% — —
Tech
9% — —
Sports
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +400 $226 52¢ $210 $-16 06-24 11:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-200 $-2 06-16 12:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-196 100¢ $-200 $-4 06-05 16:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -200 $-190 100¢ $-199 $-9 06-16 12:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-172 86¢ $-173 $-1 06-24 21:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $160 86¢ $171 +$11 06-25 09:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $136 74¢ $147 +$11 06-21 11:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $132 48¢ $95 $-37 06-14 23:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$7 06-08 00:52
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +100 $93 90¢ $90 $-3 06-24 05:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $94 42¢ $85 $-9 06-04 09:54
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -200 $-58 34¢ $-67 $-9 06-22 23:54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $43 66¢ $66 +$23 06-08 03:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +50 $45 99¢ $50 +$5 06-04 21:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $54 34¢ $34 $-19 06-04 08:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $31 84¢ $34 +$3 06-03 18:56
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -100 $-32 30¢ $-30 +$2 06-23 11:27
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +40 $23 56¢ $23 $-0 06-04 06:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 83¢ $17 +$2 06-03 18:49
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 06-04 11:59
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +20 $10 44¢ $9 $-2 06-04 17:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $6 26¢ $5 $-0 06-08 17:21
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-16 14:53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 06-03 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $66 0¢ $1 $-65 05-30 10:39
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +200 $64 0¢ $1 $-63 06-23 23:11