Realized P&L
+$158
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,206
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.11K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 67% +$123
Politics
18% 100% +$34
Crypto
10%
Tech
6%
Sports
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $160 86¢ $171 +$11 06-25 09:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $136 80¢ $161 +$25 06-21 11:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-172 74¢ $-147 +$25 06-24 21:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +100 $83 91¢ $91 +$8 06-08 00:52
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $132 46¢ $91 $-41 06-14 23:58
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -200 $-58 39¢ $-78 $-20 06-22 23:54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $43 73¢ $73 +$30 06-08 03:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $94 36¢ $71 $-23 06-04 09:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +100 $56 70¢ $70 +$13 07-03 22:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $31 87¢ $35 +$4 06-03 18:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $54 27¢ $27 $-27 06-04 08:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -100 $-32 26¢ $-26 +$6 06-23 11:27
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 88¢ $18 +$2 06-03 18:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +50 $16 32¢ $16 $-1 07-03 16:42
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +40 $23 33¢ $13 $-10 06-04 06:32
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-04 11:59
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +20 $10 40¢ $8 $-2 06-04 17:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $6 20¢ $4 $-1 06-08 17:21
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? Yes +20 $2 $2 $-0 06-16 14:53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-03 16:14