Realized P&L
+$140
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
630
Trades
1,184
lifetime
Volume
$4.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$53
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-27 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 49% -$26
Politics
26% 23% +$174
Other
21% 22% +$15
Sports
6% 4% -$19
Tech
0% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +52 $15 32¢ $17 +$2 10-19 13:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +53 $16 18¢ $9 -$7 05-23 01:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19 $8 44¢ $8 +$0 10-27 23:44
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 10-20 22:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +30 $3 11¢ $3 +$0 08-04 21:17
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-19 13:12
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +21 $3 12¢ $3 $0 10-04 22:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +57 $4 4¢ $3 -$1 10-04 22:31
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 22:30
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-19 13:13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-26 00:16
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +286 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-04 22:29
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-05 22:38
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +58 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-04 22:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +42 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-21 13:32