Thin-Freighter 0xa738ea…c2424a Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
13
1,197 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13
$4.78K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$51
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 11-07 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 49% -$26
Politics
26% 23% +$172
Other
21% 22% +$10
Sports
6% 4% -$19
Tech
0% 33% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19 $8 66¢ $12 +$4 10-27 23:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +52 $15 18¢ $10 -$5 10-19 13:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +53 $16 11¢ $6 -$10 05-23 01:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +30 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 08-04 21:17
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 10-20 22:06
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 10-20 22:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +14 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 11-06 07:05
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +24 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-04 22:28
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 22:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +57 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 10-04 22:31
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +21 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 10-04 22:27
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +308 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 11-04 11:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 11-06 07:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +28 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-06 07:01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-06 07:01
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +18 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 10-04 22:28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-06 07:01
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-19 13:12
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-19 13:13
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-21 13:35
Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +220 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-06 07:16
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-20 22:21
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +286 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-04 22:29
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-05 22:38