Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
226
Trades
358
lifetime
Volume
$741
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$44
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 07-31 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
62% 52% -$27
Sports
22% 50% -$21
Politics
14% 53% +$10
Tech
2% 62% -$2
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +9 $5 97¢ $9 +$4 07-07 07:19
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +8 $4 90¢ $7 +$3 07-07 10:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 07-24 10:03
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 07-26 14:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 90¢ $3 +$2 07-13 10:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 85¢ $3 +$0 07-04 10:12
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +3 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 07-17 10:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$0 07-21 22:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2 $1 85¢ $2 +$0 07-24 02:01
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 07-24 11:48
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 07-18 03:01
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +2 $1 53¢ $1 $0 07-06 14:28
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +2 $1 47¢ $1 $0 07-15 08:39
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 31¢ $1 $0 06-23 18:22
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +2 $1 29¢ $1 -$1 06-23 08:38
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +2 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-13 14:36