Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

116

Trades

910

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 09-19 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

44% 20% -$93

Sports

19% 34% -$23

Politics

16% 21% +$7

Crypto

13% 38% -$28

Tech

7% 0% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	27	$104	110	110	+0	No	-$5	03-22 15:16
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	28	$90	105	85	+20	Yes	-$12	03-22 15:16
will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	22	$69	320	339	-19	No	+$5	03-28 07:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	40	$64	211	211	+0	Yes	-$33	03-18 00:44
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	8	$54	35	35	+0	No	+$1	03-07 20:03
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	17	$49	941	941	+0	No	-$6	03-04 20:55
will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	21	$45	93	113	-20	No	-$11	03-10 00:01
will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	26	$38	110	110	+0	Yes	-$27	03-18 00:47
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	9	$33	314	314	+0	Yes	-$4	03-05 02:28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	10	$33	520	520	+0	No	-$1	03-03 18:44
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$32	1,607	1,607	+0	No	-$16	03-07 20:04
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	11	$24	108	93	+15	Yes	-$2	03-27 22:19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$23	588	588	+0	No	+$1	07-03 03:12
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	6	$23	100	100	+0	No	-$1	03-04 13:32
will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	9	$22	40	40	+0	No	-$5	03-10 00:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$22	121	121	+0	No	-$2	03-05 02:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$21	84	84	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 16:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC	7	$20	61	0	+61	Down	-$20	03-07 12:42
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$19	462	462	+0	No	+$1	07-04 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC	3	$18	39	3	+36	Down	+$20	03-07 12:03
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	6	$18	153	153	+0	Yes	+$0	03-02 11:15
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	7	$18	280	280	+0	No	-$1	03-04 17:33
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$18	458	458	+0	No	+$0	07-03 08:31
bitcoin up or down march 4 9am et	4	$18	54	54	+0	Up	+$6	03-04 14:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	15	$17	172	172	+0	open	—	09-18 08:39
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$17	112	112	+0	No	-$1	07-03 16:51
will kate abughazaleh be the democratic nominee for il 09	14	$17	57	92	-35	No	-$12	03-18 00:45
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$17	130	130	+0	No	-$1	07-03 04:22
solana up or down march 7 7am et	5	$16	30	0	+30	Down	-$13	03-07 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 16:30 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	03-07 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 14:37:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x44ee10…
09-19 10:21:14	Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x225c4e…
09-19 10:21:14	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1a0fa9…
09-19 02:03:28	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe2e313…
09-19 02:02:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3f3791…
09-18 08:39:37	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x9a71b9…
09-18 08:39:37	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x988589…
09-18 08:39:37	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x6572db…
09-18 08:39:36	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x77e365…
09-18 08:39:36	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x68d3a0…
09-18 08:39:36	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x07bb28…
09-18 08:39:36	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x0249e3…
09-18 08:39:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xd8cb36…
09-18 08:39:34	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x918b6d…
09-18 08:39:34	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x16b5e7…
09-18 08:39:33	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xf84a71…
09-18 08:39:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb9b0ad…
09-18 08:39:33	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x3796e4…
09-18 08:39:31	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xe6e3a1…
09-18 08:39:31	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x3cb75b…
09-18 08:30:46	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xc67a07…
09-18 08:30:46	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x579fa1…
09-15 07:39:00	Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe47ef2…
09-14 23:43:42	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2d69fc…
09-14 17:55:24	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x6da3a9…
09-14 17:53:21	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x2a0ecd…
09-14 01:59:58	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x030eaf…
09-13 18:52:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x685fa9…
09-13 00:49:54	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc778e2…
09-12 23:37:27	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x62985e…
09-12 23:27:49	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x9bc0dc…
09-12 23:26:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9b9110…
09-12 22:35:49	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8c4f99…
09-11 21:30:40	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x790323…
09-11 18:36:30	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xef2898…
09-11 15:26:25	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa0a4f5…
09-11 13:51:15	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x410b08…
09-11 10:04:30	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdf04bd…
09-11 07:56:51	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4ce46b…
09-11 06:50:15	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf0ccae…
09-11 05:27:52	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x6a411c…
09-11 03:13:12	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcf7a21…
09-11 02:37:51	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x83260f…
09-11 02:37:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4d6135…
09-11 02:37:49	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x476817…
09-11 02:37:49	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x09d332…
09-11 02:37:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x18622f…
09-11 01:37:30	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5aef6f…
09-11 01:22:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf8c424…
09-11 01:17:46	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x09b302…
09-11 01:10:58	nfl sf la 2026 09 11 total 48pt5	Over	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe2b212…
09-11 00:26:09	nfl sf la 2026 09 11 total 48pt5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe94447…
09-11 00:24:51	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x528b76…
09-11 00:24:48	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x435353…
09-11 00:18:33	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x9df6e1…
09-10 23:41:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x059809…
09-10 23:39:58	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x801b2d…
09-10 23:25:57	Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x90dee8…
09-10 22:52:34	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x90b807…
09-10 22:46:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x142513…
09-10 22:16:45	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd65a6e…
09-10 19:44:28	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbeb1d7…
09-09 07:37:25	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xfd7588…
09-01 03:49:45	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x8235fb…
07-04 00:33:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xe6a42f…
07-04 00:11:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x16e985…
07-04 00:01:37	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x6114ba…
07-03 23:31:32	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x209fd8…
07-03 23:21:49	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xd4deb5…
07-03 23:11:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x34457a…
07-03 23:01:28	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xeb0904…
07-03 22:51:22	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x878b80…
07-03 22:41:19	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x99fbaf…
07-03 19:51:25	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0xe03679…
07-03 16:51:32	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x5e4eb0…
07-03 16:41:35	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x742c12…
07-03 16:31:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x56bc20…
07-03 16:21:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xbfce25…
07-03 16:11:40	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x8aaaec…
07-03 16:01:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xc698b8…
07-03 15:51:37	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xfca15e…
07-03 15:41:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x77c3d3…
07-03 15:31:41	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf6b474…
07-03 15:21:37	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x896d94…
07-03 15:11:41	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x864f91…
07-03 09:51:35	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x22ea64…
07-03 09:41:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x1d73bd…
07-03 09:31:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x263d10…
07-03 09:21:38	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x9577a8…
07-03 09:11:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x74345f…
07-03 09:01:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x3a90dc…
07-03 08:52:01	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x6c1c89…
07-03 08:41:47	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xfb8f70…
07-03 08:31:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xc87c58…
07-03 08:21:50	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x898e28…
07-03 08:11:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x09f1d5…
07-03 08:01:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8dac0…
07-03 07:51:41	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc20346…
07-03 07:41:53	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xf29ecd…
07-03 07:30:38	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x46c6d9…