Realized P&L
+$64
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
1,206
Trades
2,997
lifetime
Volume
$8.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$147
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-27 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
82% 54% -$51
Politics
11% 65% +$82
Crypto
5% 74% +$27
Sports
2% 33% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +27 $17 66¢ $18 +$1 10-26 20:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +23 $19 72¢ $16 -$2 10-26 00:49
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +17 $5 91¢ $16 +$10 09-24 19:07
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +22 $18 72¢ $16 -$2 10-26 05:33
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +17 $16 88¢ $15 $0 10-05 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-27 04:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +11 $9 78¢ $9 $0 10-27 00:50
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 91¢ $5 +$2 09-08 18:22
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 07-13 15:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $5 +$2 08-26 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 09-04 12:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$0 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 10-25 23:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 63¢ $3 +$1 09-26 16:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4 $2 76¢ $3 +$1 09-14 07:41
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +7 $2 38¢ $3 +$1 10-22 04:29
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 09-17 14:21
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-20 16:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-26 23:05
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2 -$1 64¢ $-1 $0 06-14 06:12
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2 -$1 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-14 06:12
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +0 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 09-14 19:07
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 09-20 15:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-14 23:20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 10-23 16:59