(anonymous) 0xa8a0f8…e0d5a0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$329
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 06-11 05:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88% — —
Other
12% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +76 $59 80¢ $61 +$2 06-10 23:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +49 $38 84¢ $41 +$2 06-06 15:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +41 $37 92¢ $37 $-0 06-06 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +38 $34 94¢ $36 +$2 06-07 17:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +48 $31 68¢ $33 +$2 06-10 20:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +135 $23 18¢ $24 +$0 06-10 19:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +20 $18 92¢ $19 +$1 06-06 15:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +23 $21 76¢ $17 $-4 06-06 15:09
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +20 $12 51¢ $10 $-2 06-06 15:09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $12 4¢ $9 $-3 06-07 06:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +26 $9 33¢ $9 $-0 06-10 18:36
Les Wexner charged by June 30? No +9 $9 89¢ $8 $-1 06-06 15:12
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 06-09 19:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +14 $7 42¢ $6 $-1 06-07 16:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 $-0 06-06 15:09
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $5 83¢ $5 $-0 06-06 15:13
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +7 $3 45¢ $3 $-0 06-06 15:13
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-06 15:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +0 $3 67¢ $0 $-3 06-10 18:35