Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
414
lifetime
Volume
$4.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$259
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-02 10:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +134 $72 62¢ $83 +$10 07-01 20:20
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +76 $56 74¢ $57 +$0 06-24 16:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +74 $34 62¢ $47 +$13 07-01 18:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +37 $29 84¢ $31 +$3 06-19 12:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 84¢ $11 +$2 07-01 22:52
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +11 $9 81¢ $9 $-0 06-29 19:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +15 $7 38¢ $6 $-2 06-23 20:09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +44 $9 12¢ $6 $-3 06-19 12:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +16 $6 26¢ $4 $-2 06-19 12:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 30¢ $4 $-0 06-30 21:11
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +5 $6 72¢ $3 $-3 06-13 10:37
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +9 $1 $1 $-0 06-19 12:34