Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

752

lifetime

Volume

$351.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$467

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-15 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 50% $-1,065

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$21.0K	12,578	9,367	+3,212	open	—	04-19 21:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$15.5K	8,969	7,000	+1,969	open	—	03-05 21:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$14.8K	7,250	7,748	-498	open	—	03-31 08:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$14.7K	13,695	1,217	+12,479	open	—	02-14 03:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	79	$13.4K	13,645	0	+13,645	open	—	04-16 02:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	30	$12.6K	6,400	6,618	-218	open	—	01-30 20:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	29	$12.4K	12,815	0	+12,815	open	—	04-25 22:25
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	12	$11.8K	6,040	6,083	-43	open	—	01-18 22:27
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	3	$9.8K	9,839	0	+9,839	open	—	02-12 03:14
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	11	$8.7K	7,351	1,519	+5,832	open	—	02-21 03:08
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	10	$8.2K	8,306	0	+8,306	open	—	02-28 03:19
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$8.2K	8,248	0	+8,248	open	—	02-27 01:53
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	6	$7.6K	2,349	5,349	-3,000	open	—	01-30 22:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$7.5K	3,794	3,794	+0	open	—	01-20 20:28
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	7	$7.1K	7,098	0	+7,098	open	—	02-25 02:09
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$7.1K	7,073	0	+7,073	open	—	02-11 02:52
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$7.1K	7,066	0	+7,066	open	—	02-24 02:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	1	$6.9K	6,934	0	+6,934	open	—	03-05 21:51
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$6.3K	3,212	3,212	+0	open	—	02-15 18:46
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$6.3K	6,270	0	+6,270	open	—	02-22 03:27
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	71	$6.0K	3,039	3,039	+0	open	—	02-11 07:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	18	$6.0K	4,146	4,146	+0	open	—	04-08 07:54
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$5.6K	5,563	0	+5,563	open	—	02-20 02:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5.4K	5,473	0	+5,473	open	—	04-19 21:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	19	$5.4K	5,990	0	+5,990	open	—	03-25 16:31
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	7	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	open	—	01-18 22:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$4.9K	2,752	2,752	+0	open	—	03-10 07:56
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$4.7K	4,760	0	+4,760	open	—	02-17 18:26
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	19	$4.5K	3,053	1,526	+1,527	open	—	03-01 01:43
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	19	$4.3K	2,277	2,181	+96	open	—	01-20 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 20:04:12	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	496	99¢	$492	0x15709e…
06-15 20:04:01	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x6ecd62…
06-15 19:55:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	852	97¢	$822	0xf21597…
06-15 14:16:46	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x338696…
06-15 07:48:22	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x028ffa…
06-15 07:03:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x68b152…
06-15 07:03:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xa10a70…
06-15 07:03:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0x56cf92…
06-15 07:03:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xeb5fc9…
06-12 00:55:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$106	0x0ad914…
06-12 00:45:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xf1b73b…
05-28 20:21:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0xacf82e…
05-28 20:20:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6f9b42…
05-28 20:20:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xc971f6…
05-28 20:20:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,282	100¢	$1,280	0x6c6e57…
05-28 20:18:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x2584a0…
05-28 20:18:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0xc12b67…
05-25 20:19:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	388	99¢	$383	0xbc5137…
05-25 20:15:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x610a01…
05-25 20:13:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x0ced14…
05-25 20:09:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0xf8e26a…
05-06 09:05:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x8844e1…
05-06 09:04:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	815	91¢	$742	0x9a6005…
05-04 21:25:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	860	92¢	$791	0x2a1216…
05-04 20:35:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xc224b4…
05-04 20:34:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	699	96¢	$670	0x59cb72…
05-04 20:34:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	671	92¢	$617	0xeacd58…
05-03 17:42:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	285	94¢	$268	0xebecdc…
05-03 10:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	799	95¢	$759	0x094ef8…
05-03 10:44:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	399	95¢	$379	0x175188…
05-03 00:11:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	598	92¢	$550	0xd0f055…
05-02 23:08:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0xf3b47b…
05-02 22:57:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	398	98¢	$388	0xe1d0f8…
05-02 22:47:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x81908f…
05-02 22:46:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0x694703…
05-02 22:44:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	398	82¢	$326	0xe848ca…
05-02 22:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	398	96¢	$382	0xddbbab…
05-02 22:40:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x8908e4…
05-02 22:39:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	398	91¢	$362	0x75a73f…
05-02 22:39:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0xbf60f4…
05-01 15:36:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	199	92¢	$183	0x3247ce…
05-01 00:02:24	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x15cf90…
04-30 23:28:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0xd61f3a…
04-30 22:33:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	357	86¢	$307	0x63d7d5…
04-30 22:02:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	797	92¢	$736	0x7fcb23…
04-30 21:32:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1,029	86¢	$885	0x2106e5…
04-30 21:32:04	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x733421…
04-30 21:29:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	368	92¢	$340	0x746e48…
04-25 22:25:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	163	96¢	$157	0xfabfd4…
04-25 22:25:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$105	0x52e793…
04-25 22:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa526f9…
04-25 22:04:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0x5a24bb…
04-22 11:17:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x08af4e…
04-21 21:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x4b909d…
04-19 21:55:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	606	96¢	$582	0x40be31…
04-19 21:42:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,473	99¢	$5,435	0x04c595…
04-19 21:42:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd5ceac…
04-19 21:42:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1850de…
04-19 21:41:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6e847b…
04-19 21:41:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1889a4…
04-19 21:41:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x49cec5…
04-19 21:41:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,977	96¢	$2,861	0x25945f…
04-19 19:52:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,632	99¢	$1,612	0xa64cff…
04-19 19:46:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8e196…
04-19 19:46:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x7a9bd1…
04-19 19:36:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,243	99¢	$1,228	0x82724b…
04-19 15:50:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	44¢	$85	0xe3fc6d…
04-19 15:50:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x3adb1a…
04-19 15:49:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	44¢	$64	0xec8adb…
04-19 14:36:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$64	0x28316f…
04-19 14:34:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	103	90¢	$93	0x8e4088…
04-19 14:29:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x62d859…
04-19 14:29:14	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	88	90¢	$80	0x98a53c…
04-19 14:22:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x885c21…
04-19 14:19:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x31e432…
04-19 14:18:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0x6f1736…
04-19 14:12:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x04de6b…
04-17 13:43:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	385	97¢	$372	0x4478a7…
04-17 13:32:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe22bd5…
04-17 13:29:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa14b50…
04-17 13:06:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0xaa5588…
04-17 13:06:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xdbc9d6…
04-17 12:49:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	436	97¢	$421	0x38fd38…
04-17 12:41:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc953c4…
04-17 12:41:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x6e4972…
04-17 12:35:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,688	97¢	$1,632	0x8e4ed2…
04-17 12:14:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbf372f…
04-17 10:40:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x9f4a4b…
04-17 10:26:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf10693…
04-17 09:32:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x5f655f…
04-17 09:16:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x61f38c…
04-17 09:13:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xec1b6a…
04-17 08:26:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	303	97¢	$293	0x602ab9…
04-17 08:20:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	455	97¢	$440	0x3ef360…
04-17 08:06:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xead8ec…
04-17 07:17:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2e7447…
04-17 06:33:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb58e72…
04-17 05:51:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x32e33f…
04-17 05:50:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4,453	97¢	$4,306	0x024488…
04-16 02:14:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	398	98¢	$392	0xb3ea9e…