Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
13.4%
Resolved
36
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$363
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$38
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 09-13 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
56% 5% -$81
Politics
22% 30% +$77
Crypto
17% 0% -$55
Sports
3% 0% -$10
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$5
Tech
1% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +171 $5 4¢ $7 +$2 09-13 18:44
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +625 $5 1¢ $5 +$0 05-12 18:00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +28 $5 16¢ $4 -$1 05-12 18:06
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? Yes +83 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 09-13 18:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +45 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 09-13 18:42
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +71 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 05-12 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +24 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 09-13 18:32
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +59 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 09-13 18:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +62 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 09-13 18:33
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 05-12 18:00
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +21 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 05-12 17:58
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +33 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-12 17:58
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-12 17:59
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes +42 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-12 17:59
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +114 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 09-13 18:27
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 05-12 17:59
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 05-12 17:58