Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$1,705
$230 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$5,522
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 14:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $230
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $488 | $488 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $97 | $814 | $717 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $230 | $230 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $4 | $130 | $126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $55 | — | +$55 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $920 | $916 |
| unranked | 4 | $34 | — | +$34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | +1,100 | $814 | $814 | 1 | 05-10 07:49 |
| Drab-Bustle 0x54fd…4ac3 | Yes | +341 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 08:49 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +306 | $230 | $230 | 7 | 05-10 13:37 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +133 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 05-10 13:37 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +129 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-10 13:37 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +73 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| International-Ischemia 0x6c7a…8bfb | Yes | +68 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 17:57 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 07:48 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 23:31 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 07:41 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:54 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Odd-Maiden 0x48b8…c188 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:49 |
| Tangible-Wrinkle 0xa881…f699 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:01:37 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x934e2d… |
| 05-10 14:01:21 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0xb4ba36… |
| 05-10 13:37:16 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 36 | 71¢ | $26 | 0x1c042e… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 81 | 76¢ | $62 | 0x75ae5b… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xb78ce9… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 80 | 76¢ | $61 | 0x4ae5a9… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa9fe2f… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 129 | 75¢ | $97 | 0xf9deed… |
| 05-10 13:37:14 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 80 | 75¢ | $60 | 0x172556… |
| 05-10 10:21:16 | Modern-Underneath 0x9634…aae2 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 22¢ | $17 | 0x69c4e1… |
| 05-10 09:30:03 | Tangible-Wrinkle 0xa881…f699 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x49a1cd… |
| 05-10 08:33:10 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 73 | 22¢ | $16 | 0x35220b… |
| 05-10 07:54:24 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xd2e0dd… |
| 05-10 07:49:36 | Tinted-Prompt 0x3b68…c0df | Yes | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xb4f180… |
| 05-10 07:49:09 | Odd-Maiden 0x48b8…c188 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x070d38… |
| 05-10 07:49:09 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 1,100 | 74¢ | $814 | 0x0ad9a4… |
| 05-10 07:48:05 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xf8f8ca… |
| 05-10 07:47:52 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 23 | 74¢ | $17 | 0x4a1b2e… |
| 05-10 07:47:23 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 101 | 74¢ | $75 | 0xb87c08… |
| 05-10 07:47:23 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xd4045d… |
| 05-10 07:47:21 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x5246ac… |
| 05-10 07:41:45 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 18 | 74¢ | $13 | 0xa444bb… |
| 05-10 05:27:00 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xcdf3bc… |
| 05-10 04:12:25 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 22 | 74¢ | $16 | 0xa792a2… |
| 05-10 04:12:09 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 62 | 74¢ | $46 | 0x0d9289… |
| 05-10 04:07:21 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5c35ee… |
| 05-10 04:02:30 | Woeful-Quest 0x2feb…b324 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x279c33… |
| 05-08 17:57:29 | International-Ischemia 0x6c7a…8bfb | Yes | BUY | 68 | 25¢ | $17 | 0xc67549… |
| 05-08 09:20:29 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x909be6… |
| 05-08 08:49:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 137 | 83¢ | $114 | 0x7a10e8… |
| 05-08 08:49:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5ea98c… |
| 05-08 08:49:22 | Drab-Bustle 0x54fd…4ac3 | Yes | BUY | 341 | 16¢ | $55 | 0xb2a354… |
| 05-08 03:12:33 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x1e6277… |
| 05-07 23:31:05 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xa2c0a3… |