Realized P&L
+$228
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
133
Trades
1,087
lifetime
Volume
$7.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-28
last 10-28 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
86% 65% +$181
Crypto
6% 48% +$54
Tech
5% 25% -$3
Politics
2% 75% -$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +550 $523 96¢ $531 +$8 10-28 19:03
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $66 86¢ $86 +$19 10-27 17:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $56 85¢ $85 +$30 10-27 19:55
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 10-25 16:05
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +25 $13 98¢ $24 +$12 10-23 06:52
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-27 22:12
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $0 10-27 16:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +45 $22 42¢ $19 -$3 10-28 17:59
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 10-26 19:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-28 09:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 87¢ $17 +$2 10-26 13:32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Invictus Gaming +20 $12 86¢ $17 +$5 10-27 02:39
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +16 $14 84¢ $14 $0 10-24 15:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +35 $12 29¢ $10 -$2 10-28 17:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 10-27 03:55
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 10-26 22:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 -$10 97¢ $10 +$20 10-28 18:04
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-26 13:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $10 92¢ $9 -$1 10-23 16:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 $0 10-18 19:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 10-18 23:41
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 $0 10-24 16:44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming — +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-28 18:55
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-25 16:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 01:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-28 18:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-23 23:09
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-27 16:27
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 10-27 13:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-25 16:23