Realized P&L
+$21.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.35K
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
834
Trades
7,219
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$11.7K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-22 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% +$78,980
Other
34% 50% -$69,631
Tech
11% 61% +$13,480
Crypto
0% 38% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$474
Sports
0% 62% -$492
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -36,900 -$4,521 18¢ $-6826 -$2,306 08-04 16:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -30,000 -$3,900 14¢ $-4050 -$150 10-02 01:21
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -1,624 -$357 18¢ $-300 +$57 08-04 19:06
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -178 -$154 95¢ $-169 -$16 10-22 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -2,000 $2,034 6¢ $-130 -$2,164 10-04 21:17
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -3,875 -$358 3¢ $-122 +$236 10-22 04:45
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,521 $32 4¢ $58 +$26 06-15 21:17
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +60 $44 28¢ $17 -$27 05-28 13:16
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 -$5 30¢ $-6 $0 10-22 04:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +112 $10 3¢ $3 -$7 05-09 03:49