Realized P&L
+$104
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
874
Trades
2,566
lifetime
Volume
$7.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$151
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-28 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
57% 49% +$222
Politics
31% 69% +$87
Sports
12% 50% -$205
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +25 $22 90¢ $23 +$1 07-30 02:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -24 -$12 92¢ $-22 -$10 07-30 16:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -19 -$15 94¢ $-18 -$4 05-27 13:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -17 -$10 94¢ $-16 -$6 07-05 09:33
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 09-30 04:02
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +12 $6 84¢ $10 +$4 09-30 11:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +47 $20 20¢ $10 -$10 10-27 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $14 14¢ $7 -$7 08-15 08:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $7 72¢ $6 -$1 09-23 07:54
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +5 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 08-17 01:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6 $2 70¢ $4 +$2 09-25 07:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +11 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 08-11 10:47
US recession by end of 2026? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-4 -$1 04-29 12:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +11 $3 32¢ $4 +$1 06-16 16:23
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 08-04 17:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 07-30 01:48
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +15 $7 12¢ $2 -$5 08-05 21:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 10-22 18:23
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +5 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 08-03 01:43
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +3 $2 13¢ $0 -$1 08-05 14:16
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 07-26 20:38