Sardonic-Reindeer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,257

lifetime

Volume

$6.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-11 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

58% 46% $-26

Politics

29% 0% $-2

Sports

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp medvede berrett 2026 04 08	198	$857	654	641	+13	open	—	04-08 11:58
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	100	$100	416	0	+416	open	—	04-09 22:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$76	73	73	+0	open	—	06-14 10:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$73	57	57	+0	open	—	04-16 13:24
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$72	43	43	+0	open	—	06-14 23:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	53	$70	59	59	+0	open	—	08-05 14:11
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$68	51	51	+0	open	—	06-04 02:29
mlb bal cle 2026 04 16 total 8pt5	2	$68	43	43	+1	open	—	04-17 00:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	38	$65	52	51	+1	open	—	07-13 12:08
israel closes its airspace by august 31	29	$63	44	44	+0	open	—	07-31 03:20
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	4	$63	35	35	+0	open	—	06-22 06:23
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	3	$60	54	54	+0	open	—	08-08 20:15
elc por ips 2026 01 04 total 1pt5	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	04-14 20:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	15	$57	38	37	+1	open	—	04-15 19:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	32	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	04-15 19:10
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	25	$49	35	28	+6	open	—	06-15 16:13
dota2 xtreme aur1 2026 04 19	4	$48	40	39	+1	open	—	04-19 09:57
lol gx navi 2026 04 18	2	$46	32	31	+1	open	—	04-18 18:06
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	17	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	07-28 18:19
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$44	29	39	-10	open	—	07-29 13:25
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	41	$42	31	31	+0	open	—	08-09 18:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	38	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	04-21 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	41	$40	56	56	+0	open	—	04-18 09:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 18:12
lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$39	25	24	+0	open	—	04-12 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	68	$36	45	44	+0	open	—	05-28 14:11
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	7	$35	34	34	+0	No	+$5	05-11 18:14
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$34	28	28	+0	open	—	06-14 20:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	10	$33	29	19	+10	open	—	05-29 18:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	04-18 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:11:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x88fc16…
08-11 10:47:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa876a6…
08-11 10:28:42	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x75679d…
08-11 10:28:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x8c09f4…
08-11 10:15:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x31de0b…
08-11 08:53:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x0cc7ed…
08-11 08:16:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xb87518…
08-11 07:38:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xd35ae9…
08-10 18:36:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x167266…
08-10 18:24:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x515233…
08-10 14:58:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x1020a4…
08-10 07:02:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x96b743…
08-10 06:24:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x1a62de…
08-09 18:28:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xa42ade…
08-09 17:02:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x3eed09…
08-09 17:01:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x0c5064…
08-09 17:01:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xcd569f…
08-09 12:07:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x311457…
08-09 11:53:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x85bd85…
08-09 11:50:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x20fc80…
08-09 11:47:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x6fb002…
08-09 11:43:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x483820…
08-09 08:02:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1a55b0…
08-09 08:02:33	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd38367…
08-09 03:17:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xc87ef8…
08-09 02:49:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf5d66f…
08-09 01:42:55	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$29	0x7cad99…
08-09 00:11:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x1e86ff…
08-08 21:57:33	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xf83d74…
08-08 21:57:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x379782…
08-08 21:20:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x5bb594…
08-08 20:57:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf7f1b3…
08-08 20:16:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x750e62…
08-08 20:15:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	54	75¢	$40	0x28b761…
08-08 19:07:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x5feb33…
08-08 19:02:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x15c509…
08-08 17:26:54	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x6e0cb0…
08-08 16:17:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x9c828c…
08-08 16:01:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x523979…
08-07 18:17:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd9a570…
08-07 18:16:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xc65b5f…
08-07 18:16:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x061ba5…
08-07 17:35:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x693857…
08-07 10:35:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3a0a13…
08-06 18:17:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xbc94af…
08-06 18:12:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xa04b1b…
08-06 01:22:21	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe2c770…
08-06 00:53:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8f9c09…
08-05 21:43:38	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x684e01…
08-05 15:29:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x3a2455…
08-05 14:16:23	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x665810…
08-05 14:11:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x0e06c9…
08-05 14:10:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x2960e0…
08-05 13:47:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xb2fff9…
08-05 13:36:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x6937b1…
08-05 13:33:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x5b0940…
08-05 13:33:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x019216…
08-05 12:18:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xa265bf…
08-05 12:17:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3299c7…
08-05 12:17:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x803cd0…
08-05 12:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xa720d0…
08-05 05:10:05	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xe20f71…
08-05 03:49:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xddd5cd…
08-05 02:32:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x57df7e…
08-05 02:09:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x36164c…
08-05 02:08:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x47c3f3…
08-05 02:08:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x1c7ff9…
08-05 02:06:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x59a101…
08-05 01:23:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4b4f07…
08-04 23:01:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x7d9386…
08-04 21:04:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xdade84…
08-04 21:04:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xf1d96b…
08-04 21:04:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x328be5…
08-04 21:04:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x635abb…
08-04 21:04:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x0fd9d4…
08-04 21:04:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x97ad48…
08-04 21:04:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x01b86d…
08-04 21:04:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x27072d…
08-04 21:04:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xd1875b…
08-04 21:04:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5b2844…
08-04 21:04:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x9b46f7…
08-04 21:04:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb38af6…
08-04 21:03:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x2609af…
08-04 21:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa66398…
08-04 21:03:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5c6102…
08-04 21:03:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x84431f…
08-04 21:03:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb94514…
08-04 21:03:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x3502b3…
08-04 21:03:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xbe841c…
08-04 21:03:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5ee5a4…
08-04 21:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x9b7ee7…
08-04 21:03:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x3c0450…
08-04 21:03:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x443c14…
08-04 21:03:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xddb248…
08-04 21:03:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x4885cd…
08-04 21:03:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x4dea2f…
08-04 21:03:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x672e4d…
08-04 21:03:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xc17e79…
08-04 21:03:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb8379c…
08-04 21:03:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x38f193…