Married-Shop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,760

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$183

Other

33% 100% +$16

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	17	$674	800	800	+0	open	—	04-07 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	31	$538	500	500	+0	open	—	04-17 13:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$485	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-24 16:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	51	$423	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$99	03-30 20:46
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	6	$385	1,000	900	+100	open	—	02-17 15:14
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	36	$378	2,261	2,090	+171	open	—	01-30 10:16
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	16	$323	400	400	+0	open	—	02-28 09:27
italy nordio reform referendum passes	24	$298	2,300	2,799	-499	open	—	03-23 15:18
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	9	$297	250	250	+0	open	—	03-26 04:01
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	5	$295	244	244	+0	open	—	06-21 14:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	19	$286	1,350	1,194	+156	open	—	03-09 11:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$284	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$277	300	300	+0	open	—	05-24 07:40
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	13	$252	193	230	-37	open	—	03-10 12:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$251	1,200	200	+1,000	open	—	06-14 21:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	13	$247	461	386	+74	open	—	01-15 23:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	12	$240	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-25 17:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$238	200	200	+0	open	—	06-19 21:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$229	536	536	+0	open	—	03-16 16:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$227	500	500	+0	open	—	04-07 23:23
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	14	$226	650	700	-50	open	—	02-20 15:04
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	7	$207	300	300	+0	open	—	07-31 22:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$200	500	500	+0	No	+$50	04-24 16:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	7	$191	800	431	+369	open	—	06-14 21:56
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	72	$190	1,988	2,055	-67	open	—	02-28 13:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$185	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 14:36
another us government shutdown by february 14	9	$185	220	220	+0	open	—	02-13 07:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$183	350	350	+0	open	—	02-28 09:28
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$178	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 03:59
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	3	$176	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 17:18:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	218	11¢	$24	0x58714c…
08-14 15:30:09	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xdf8425…
08-14 07:33:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x732833…
08-13 21:44:37	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5f1f10…
08-10 10:41:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0x4ac7bd…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xf66ea6…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xea23b7…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe6b92e…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe5e784…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xaef3f3…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x31e8f8…
08-10 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2385d6…
08-09 23:22:16	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc3720c…
08-09 23:22:16	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa1bdbf…
08-09 23:22:16	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9a7b13…
08-09 23:22:16	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4fe46c…
08-09 23:22:16	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x3fecfd…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe6adfc…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd73461…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcead9d…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc8215e…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc69824…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb267c8…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xad287d…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5eb6b4…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3ae182…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1f7395…
08-09 23:22:15	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1ebade…
08-09 23:22:13	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xed5226…
08-09 23:22:13	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xe973e5…
08-09 23:22:13	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd3c9f0…
08-09 23:22:13	btc updown 5m 1786317600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb1462b…
08-08 20:09:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x360fc5…
08-06 10:33:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xe95736…
08-05 14:16:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xe0a69a…
08-05 13:41:47	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x622d47…
07-31 22:57:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	110	40¢	$44	0x491738…
07-31 20:21:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	84	41¢	$35	0xb5efb3…
07-31 20:14:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	105	39¢	$41	0x95006a…
07-30 22:25:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	280	29¢	$81	0x985282…
07-30 22:25:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8d4b16…
07-30 22:25:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xeb6deb…
07-30 22:25:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x6f9ba4…
07-30 07:40:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xd08e02…
07-26 06:06:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	208	0¢	$0	0x95aff3…
07-25 06:44:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xc09c49…
07-25 06:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x36592d…
07-25 05:58:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	190	3¢	$6	0x6aa6b1…
07-23 17:59:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	30¢	$38	0x707f58…
07-21 19:43:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x710e61…
07-21 19:02:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xd2c923…
07-21 19:01:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8ee30a…
07-21 19:00:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x358d24…
07-21 19:00:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	246	7¢	$18	0x136a4d…
07-20 11:54:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd006a3…
07-20 11:54:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x29d595…
07-20 11:42:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	86	22¢	$19	0xdc65e9…
07-19 20:58:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3030ab…
07-18 11:52:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	28¢	$21	0x96664a…
07-18 08:20:15	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,400	0¢	$4	0x07d2e0…
07-15 18:18:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$32	0xcac58d…
07-15 17:38:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4d88aa…
07-15 17:35:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x4b7434…
07-15 08:47:40	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x9ae621…
07-15 08:45:23	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x3c26d4…
07-15 08:33:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$40	0xc0f293…
07-15 08:25:35	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	95	10¢	$9	0xad2e65…
07-15 08:06:49	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xbdfd39…
07-15 07:59:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xbb9552…
07-15 07:24:02	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6f28d0…
07-15 06:54:38	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x19a061…
07-15 04:14:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x13bfd3…
07-15 00:25:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x43478c…
07-14 05:51:05	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0x2d91c8…
07-14 05:50:59	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x40cf6b…
07-09 14:54:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x63c66b…
07-04 00:17:26	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xc248f8…
07-04 00:08:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x82920d…
06-29 12:28:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	500	11¢	$53	0x4d587f…
06-29 12:27:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x7e485f…
06-26 20:43:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$21	0x494070…
06-26 19:54:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	436	18¢	$78	0x1cf863…
06-26 19:13:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1af097…
06-26 19:08:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0x4a3164…
06-26 16:26:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x1edf57…
06-25 17:18:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x4396df…
06-25 17:18:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x805ef4…
06-25 17:17:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x6ff93b…
06-25 07:59:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0x71cd65…
06-25 07:59:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x99833c…
06-25 07:27:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x7e3173…
06-24 14:51:08	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x4e9c14…
06-23 18:02:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x81ec32…
06-23 17:33:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	191	3¢	$6	0xde67f0…
06-22 20:08:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	253	2¢	$5	0x106cbb…
06-22 19:57:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xde9144…
06-22 19:57:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcb63ba…
06-22 19:52:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa5377e…
06-22 19:46:14	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x182fab…
06-22 19:33:44	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6865f4…