Realized P&L
-$1.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
1,269
Trades
3,612
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$57
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 06-05 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
84%
45%
-$435
Politics
11%
43%
-$955
Other
5%
34%
-$33
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +11 | $10 | 99¢ | $11 | +$1 | 05-17 02:32 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +11 | $10 | 99¢ | $10 | +$1 | 06-05 18:25 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5 | $5 | 99¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-02 21:55 | |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | +5 | $5 | 98¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-10 18:32 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +5 | $5 | 99¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-10 18:32 | |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | +5 | $5 | 97¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-10 17:13 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5 | $4 | 98¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-02 18:15 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5 | $4 | 98¢ | $5 | +$1 | 05-02 18:15 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5 | $4 | 97¢ | $5 | +$0 | 05-02 18:15 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 1 | $1000 | 1,476 | 0 | +1,476 | Yes | -$1,000 | 04-07 19:03 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:40 UTC | 24 | $286 | 258 | 89 | +170 | Down | +$20 | 04-14 07:44 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 12 | $237 | 255 | 255 | +0 | No | -$2 | 04-30 01:37 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:15 UTC | 13 | $217 | 146 | 143 | +3 | Up | -$1 | 04-10 08:20 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:30 UTC | 18 | $212 | 115 | 114 | +1 | Down | +$11 | 04-14 07:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:05 UTC | 16 | $204 | 193 | 89 | +104 | Up | -$27 | 04-14 07:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:25 UTC | 12 | $143 | 158 | 6 | +152 | Up | +$16 | 04-14 07:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:15 UTC | 32 | $143 | 97 | 84 | +13 | Up | -$6 | 04-13 22:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:55 UTC | 10 | $138 | 78 | 77 | +1 | Up | +$9 | 04-14 06:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:05 UTC | 23 | $132 | 72 | 64 | +8 | Up | +$1 | 04-13 22:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 17:35 UTC | 36 | $127 | 131 | 117 | +15 | Up | +$1 | 04-14 17:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:45 UTC | 7 | $126 | 85 | 73 | +13 | Down | +$5 | 04-14 07:49 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 3 | $120 | 110 | 110 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-14 07:35 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | 2 | $118 | 80 | 80 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 05-02 16:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:20 UTC | 14 | $118 | 177 | 53 | +124 | Up | -$71 | 04-10 08:23 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 5 | $117 | 271 | 271 | +0 | No | +$7 | 04-14 07:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:10 UTC | 12 | $110 | 104 | 25 | +79 | Down | +$7 | 04-14 08:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:20 UTC | 25 | $108 | 79 | 65 | +14 | Up | -$1 | 04-13 22:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:25 UTC | 11 | $107 | 86 | 83 | +2 | Down | +$4 | 04-10 08:30 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:30 UTC | 23 | $103 | 69 | 58 | +10 | Up | -$1 | 04-13 22:34 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 7 | $99 | 101 | 101 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 04-30 00:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:20 UTC | 8 | $96 | 61 | 60 | +1 | Down | +$3 | 04-14 22:24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | 13 | $94 | 129 | 63 | +66 | Down | -$25 | 04-30 01:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:10 UTC | 27 | $91 | 91 | 73 | +18 | Up | -$8 | 04-14 20:14 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:50 UTC | 16 | $88 | 90 | 50 | +40 | Up | -$23 | 04-14 07:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 17:40 UTC | 19 | $87 | 75 | 58 | +17 | Up | $0 | 04-14 17:42 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC | 5 | $83 | 44 | 44 | +0 | Up | +$3 | 04-10 14:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:30 UTC | 10 | $78 | 91 | 88 | +3 | Up | -$23 | 04-10 09:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:30 UTC | 10 | $76 | 55 | 48 | +7 | Down | +$3 | 04-14 19:34 |
| ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:55 UTC | 6 | $76 | 95 | 0 | +95 | Up | -$1 | 04-14 19:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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