Simplistic-Crisp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

3,562

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-05 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 69% +$5

Politics

8% 50% +$0

Other

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 808 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+11	$10	95¢	$10	+$0	06-05 18:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$1000	1,476	0	+1,476	open	—	04-07 19:03
btc updown 5m 1776152400	24	$286	258	89	+170	open	—	04-14 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775808900	13	$217	146	143	+3	open	—	04-10 08:20
btc updown 5m 1776151800	18	$212	115	114	+1	open	—	04-14 07:35
btc updown 5m 1776150300	16	$204	193	89	+104	open	—	04-14 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776151500	12	$143	158	6	+152	open	—	04-14 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776118500	32	$143	97	84	+13	open	—	04-13 22:18
btc updown 5m 1776149700	10	$138	78	77	+1	open	—	04-14 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776117900	23	$132	72	64	+8	open	—	04-13 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776188100	36	$127	131	117	+15	open	—	04-14 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776152700	7	$126	85	73	+13	open	—	04-14 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$120	110	110	+0	open	—	04-14 07:35
btc updown 5m 1775809200	14	$118	177	53	+124	open	—	04-10 08:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$117	271	271	+0	open	—	04-14 07:35
btc updown 5m 1776154200	12	$110	104	25	+79	open	—	04-14 08:15
btc updown 5m 1776118800	25	$108	79	65	+14	open	—	04-13 22:24
btc updown 5m 1775809500	11	$107	86	83	+2	open	—	04-10 08:30
btc updown 5m 1776119400	23	$103	69	58	+10	open	—	04-13 22:34
btc updown 5m 1776205200	8	$96	61	60	+1	open	—	04-14 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	13	$94	129	63	+66	open	—	04-30 01:39
btc updown 5m 1776197400	27	$91	91	73	+18	open	—	04-14 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776153000	16	$88	90	50	+40	open	—	04-14 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776188400	19	$87	75	58	+17	open	—	04-14 17:42
btc updown 5m 1775832900	5	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	04-10 14:59
btc updown 5m 1775813400	10	$78	91	88	+3	open	—	04-10 09:35
btc updown 5m 1776195000	10	$76	55	48	+7	open	—	04-14 19:34
eth updown 5m 1776196500	6	$76	95	0	+95	open	—	04-14 19:59
btc updown 5m 1776197100	19	$75	70	58	+12	open	—	04-14 20:09
btc updown 5m 1776187800	15	$73	65	46	+19	open	—	04-14 17:33
btc updown 5m 1776151200	12	$71	77	14	+62	open	—	04-14 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 18:25:27	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd9b564…
05-10 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x463ba2…
05-09 22:52:43	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x80f5b1…
05-09 22:52:43	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$10	0x50dc95…
05-06 21:00:50	Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdc0155…
05-06 02:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x010afe…
05-06 02:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x42cdf9…
05-06 02:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x834c19…
05-06 02:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x110ecb…
05-06 02:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc47604…
05-06 02:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8f2dde…
05-06 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9bcbda…
05-06 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x01eb9b…
05-06 01:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x941919…
05-06 01:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd87adf…
05-06 01:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdec82d…
05-06 01:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a75eb…
05-06 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43fbb2…
05-06 01:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x28237d…
05-06 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x956c69…
05-06 01:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbf1715…
05-05 18:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1b688…
05-05 18:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x3c3d7a…
05-05 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa70c75…
05-05 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa45ba6…
05-05 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xeff899…
05-05 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9edb9e…
05-05 18:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x26519e…
05-05 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0bdbb3…
05-05 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xffa22f…
05-05 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3b2dfa…
05-05 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7243de…
05-05 18:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x851484…
05-05 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x15ea38…
05-05 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x91196c…
05-05 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x094d4c…
05-05 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x528a61…
05-05 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x310551…
05-05 17:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb3a8a2…
05-05 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa5ac87…
05-05 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5994f4…
05-05 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd978ec…
05-05 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6cd967…
05-05 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x64e8ba…
05-05 17:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb5f7bd…
05-05 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6b9176…
05-05 17:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe3862a…
05-05 17:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa6dda3…
05-05 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd7c7cf…
05-05 17:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9aab6e…
05-05 17:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x601a71…
05-05 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4efc93…
05-05 17:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xed84cb…
05-05 17:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x04c207…
05-05 17:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xdb4ceb…
05-05 17:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6a880f…
05-05 17:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9dd3a0…
05-05 17:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x69d157…
05-05 17:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x613f62…
05-05 17:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6d8590…
05-05 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd4d84d…
05-05 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x86b500…
05-05 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x92c1bf…
05-05 16:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf8576d…
05-05 16:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x153553…
05-05 16:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x744c2b…
05-05 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb161da…
05-05 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x43e2ae…
05-05 16:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb4be7d…
05-05 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6a9ae5…
05-05 16:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa3150e…
05-05 16:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x91bf29…
05-05 16:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe65da2…
05-05 16:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2fc2a2…
05-05 16:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0d1db6…
05-05 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5da403…
05-05 16:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x12cd52…
05-05 16:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8444f5…
05-05 09:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7ff759…
05-05 09:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x359d4d…
05-05 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x25f26d…
05-05 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x54b608…
05-05 09:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5c334e…
05-05 09:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa72bda…
05-05 09:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x346cce…
05-05 09:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5ea588…
05-05 09:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0bc540…
05-05 09:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcdc1a5…
05-05 09:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1ac603…
05-05 09:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x35d56e…
05-05 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfe9a98…
05-05 08:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x28c07b…
05-05 08:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x20c5d0…
05-05 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x02cc81…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x684f5c…
05-05 08:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe5c08f…
05-05 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x37b2ab…
05-05 08:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x33a86b…
05-05 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7a4b59…
05-05 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc5ec6f…