Realized P&L
-$553
Unrealized P&L
-$224
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
107
Trades
334
lifetime
Volume
$7.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$175
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-01 05:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
72% 62% -$289
Crypto
22% 44% -$58
Sports
7% 0% -$206
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -127 -$86 88¢ $-112 -$26 06-09 22:32
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +66 $44 56¢ $37 -$6 09-23 17:14
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 -$9 81¢ $-9 +$0 05-18 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $25 8¢ $8 -$18 08-20 00:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $15 3¢ $5 -$10 07-19 10:00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5 $35 72¢ $3 -$32 10-01 05:41
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $132 12¢ $1 -$131 09-27 17:56