Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
20.1%
Resolved
120
Trades
360
lifetime
Volume
$216
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 08-22 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
53% 2% -$36
Other
35% 2% -$35
Sports
12% 0% -$9
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +100 $0 4¢ $4 +$3 08-21 19:35
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-12 04:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-20 17:42
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-11 16:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 08-11 14:02
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-15 22:05
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 08-11 20:41
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-12 22:31
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$1 08-11 14:31
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-19 17:35
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:31
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-22 03:30
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-12 23:55
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:31
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-14 13:49
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +38 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 08-13 21:01
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-17 03:53
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:31
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:31
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-15 05:51
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +150 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-14 22:49
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 08-13 23:37
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:00
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 08-12 02:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-15 19:20
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-11 14:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-11 14:31
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-12 07:07
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-12 02:35
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-14 06:22