Realized P&L (90d)
-$686
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved (90d)
28
Trades (90d)
35
524 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.24K
$30.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$973
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-08 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
58% 61% +$2,131
Other
23% 60% -$312
Crypto
12% 64% -$742
Sports
7% 57% -$214
Tech
1% 17% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +250 $115 80¢ $201 +$86 08-01 10:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,159 $221 16¢ $191 -$30 10-08 15:16
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +172 $55 94¢ $162 +$107 08-01 10:35
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -110 -$102 98¢ $-107 -$5 05-17 16:47
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +94 $84 95¢ $89 +$6 08-10 08:29
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +56 $50 96¢ $54 +$4 08-01 10:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +547 $130 10¢ $52 -$78 10-08 15:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -32 -$28 98¢ $-31 -$3 05-24 15:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -30 -$25 96¢ $-29 -$3 05-20 13:55
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +31 $20 88¢ $28 +$8 07-09 00:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -113 -$21 20¢ $-22 -$1 05-24 15:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $29 8¢ $7 -$22 07-21 06:12