Realized P&L
-$415
Unrealized P&L
-$133
Hit rate
22.4%
Resolved
22
Trades
293
lifetime
Volume
$3.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.80K
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-19 13:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 0% -$4
Sports
28% 25% -$377
Other
20% 20% -$31
Politics
6% 33% -$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -360 -$317 97¢ $-350 -$34 05-25 20:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -320 -$298 99¢ $-315 -$18 05-25 20:08
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -320 -$298 98¢ $-314 -$16 05-25 20:08
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +196 $179 96¢ $188 +$9 06-14 17:29
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +150 $118 94¢ $140 +$22 06-15 17:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +92 $72 94¢ $87 +$15 06-09 04:31
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +86 $80 98¢ $84 +$4 06-12 08:52
US recession by end of 2026? No +76 $62 94¢ $72 +$10 06-10 17:53
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +76 $31 89¢ $68 +$37 06-08 23:53
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $36 89¢ $44 +$8 06-08 14:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +107 $21 24¢ $25 +$4 06-17 04:41
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +25 $13 78¢ $20 +$7 06-14 22:44
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +191 $83 7¢ $14 -$69 06-08 12:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +15 $7 84¢ $13 +$6 06-14 21:05
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +150 $28 6¢ $10 -$19 06-08 08:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +157 $32 6¢ $9 -$23 06-15 11:01
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +76 $45 11¢ $8 -$37 06-13 05:39
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +196 $12 4¢ $8 -$4 06-13 02:18
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +35 $17 22¢ $8 -$9 06-15 23:34
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $13 11¢ $5 -$7 06-10 12:12
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +76 $14 6¢ $5 -$9 06-08 08:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +18 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 06-17 13:21
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +77 $8 4¢ $3 -$5 06-14 16:26
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +86 $4 2¢ $2 -$3 06-14 21:56
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +31 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 06-14 20:52