(anonymous) 0xb38c07…813f22
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
283
lifetime
Volume
$2.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$224
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-19 13:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
40% — —
Other
28% — —
Crypto
24% — —
Politics
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +93 $40 31¢ $29 $-11 06-08 12:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +27 $21 86¢ $23 +$2 06-09 04:31
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +25 $23 94¢ $23 +$1 06-14 17:29
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +25 $20 79¢ $20 +$0 06-15 17:12
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 +$0 06-12 08:52
US recession by end of 2026? No +15 $12 88¢ $14 +$1 06-10 17:53
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +25 $13 54¢ $13 +$1 06-14 22:44
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +29 $17 46¢ $13 $-4 06-13 05:39
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +25 $12 46¢ $11 $-0 06-15 23:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +76 $16 14¢ $11 $-5 06-15 11:01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +43 $8 21¢ $9 +$1 06-08 08:47
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +15 $6 55¢ $8 +$2 06-08 23:53
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 $-0 06-08 14:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +12 $5 52¢ $6 +$1 06-14 16:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +15 $3 34¢ $5 +$2 06-17 04:41
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +36 $4 8¢ $3 $-1 06-19 13:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 06-10 12:12
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +31 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-14 16:26
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-08 08:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +10 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 06-17 13:21
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +23 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 06-14 21:56
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +16 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-09 13:31
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-14 20:52
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +2 $0 16¢ $0 $-0 06-17 02:07
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes +40 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-11 07:51
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +17 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-17 02:10
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +15 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-11 02:26