(anonymous) 0xb38c07…813f22
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
283
lifetime
Volume
$2.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$211
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-19 13:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
40% — —
Other
28% — —
Crypto
24% — —
Politics
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +27 $21 86¢ $24 +$2 06-09 04:31
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +25 $23 94¢ $24 +$1 06-14 17:29
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +25 $20 86¢ $21 +$2 06-15 17:12
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +93 $40 21¢ $19 $-21 06-08 12:44
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 06-12 08:52
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +25 $13 55¢ $14 +$1 06-14 22:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +15 $12 89¢ $14 +$1 06-10 17:53
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +25 $12 46¢ $11 $-1 06-15 23:34
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +15 $6 70¢ $11 +$5 06-08 23:53
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +76 $16 14¢ $10 $-5 06-15 11:01
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +29 $17 30¢ $9 $-8 06-13 05:39
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 06-08 14:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +12 $5 58¢ $7 +$2 06-14 16:56
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +43 $8 15¢ $6 $-2 06-08 08:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +15 $3 34¢ $5 +$2 06-17 04:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +10 $2 34¢ $3 +$2 06-17 13:21
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 +$0 06-10 12:12
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +36 $4 8¢ $3 $-1 06-19 13:13
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +31 $3 8¢ $2 $-1 06-14 16:26
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +15 $3 11¢ $2 $-1 06-08 08:36
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +16 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-09 13:31
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +23 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-14 21:56
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +8 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-14 20:52
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +2 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 06-17 02:07