Realized P&L
-$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$790
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
429
Trades
2,733
lifetime
Volume
$310.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$14.9K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
49% 63% -$7,060
Crypto
25% 55% -$6,866
Politics
21% 84% +$6,647
Sports
4% 35% -$3,399
Tech
0% 100% +$156
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,500 $3,042 94¢ $3.3K +$230 10-29 17:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,331 $2,008 96¢ $2.2K +$232 05-24 13:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,350 $1,724 80¢ $1.9K +$156 08-27 07:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,500 $1,380 92¢ $1.4K +$8 10-27 01:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,332 $1,219 90¢ $1.2K -$17 10-27 10:19
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,000 $1,285 58¢ $1.2K -$115 07-17 21:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,101 $752 78¢ $861 +$108 08-01 23:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +777 $583 91¢ $707 +$124 08-03 20:16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +666 $371 100¢ $664 +$294 08-01 18:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +999 $674 59¢ $593 -$81 07-26 06:46
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +366 $307 100¢ $365 +$58 08-03 15:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,221 $494 24¢ $299 -$195 05-10 01:00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +329 $199 40¢ $132 -$67 08-02 23:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +77 $75 97¢ $75 +$0 10-29 09:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +666 $166 6¢ $37 -$130 05-03 17:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$185 97¢ $0 +$185 08-12 08:07