Livid-Bride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$35.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-05 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% $-1

Other

39% 0% $-1

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	$-0	07-04 12:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	14	$1.0K	538	538	+0	open	—	04-18 18:14
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$997	500	500	+0	open	—	04-16 07:21
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$849	434	434	+0	open	—	04-03 18:00
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	8	$811	410	410	+0	open	—	04-05 04:57
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$786	405	405	+0	open	—	04-27 03:55
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$720	366	366	+0	open	—	03-24 13:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	6	$714	357	357	+0	open	—	03-15 15:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	6	$693	350	350	+0	open	—	03-29 20:34
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$686	347	347	+0	open	—	03-19 10:51
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$671	342	342	+0	No	$-0	04-19 08:16
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	6	$656	330	330	+0	open	—	03-30 11:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	7	$638	322	322	+0	open	—	03-28 23:01
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$609	307	307	+0	open	—	04-08 20:04
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	6	$594	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 05:10
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	7	$594	305	305	+0	open	—	04-07 19:35
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$593	322	322	+0	open	—	04-15 18:23
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	6	$584	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 15:01
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$581	304	304	+0	open	—	04-28 04:36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	11	$579	466	466	+0	open	—	04-11 21:28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	8	$575	300	300	+0	open	—	05-06 03:32
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$550	282	279	+3	open	—	07-04 12:07
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$548	275	275	+0	open	—	03-31 23:45
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$545	276	276	+0	open	—	07-04 06:14
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	6	$535	286	286	+0	open	—	04-09 10:42
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$516	260	260	+0	open	—	02-12 10:58
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	04-13 22:17
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$436	221	221	+0	open	—	07-03 23:17
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	4	$422	214	214	+0	open	—	04-06 10:48
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$415	212	212	+0	open	—	03-28 08:54
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	4	$402	201	201	+0	open	—	03-28 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:03:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x440ddc…
07-05 17:37:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x49a419…
07-04 17:49:31	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe4266e…
07-04 15:54:58	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xa4e921…
07-04 12:07:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0x6e29bd…
07-04 10:38:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x287a8a…
07-04 06:14:50	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x7e9eea…
07-04 05:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xee2088…
07-03 23:17:49	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x374eef…
07-03 21:25:43	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x868597…
07-02 13:00:40	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x70595f…
07-02 11:15:26	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x57b8d2…
06-30 09:03:40	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x286a54…
06-30 07:10:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x572abe…
06-29 04:04:16	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x213af4…
06-29 02:13:08	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa11381…
06-28 09:02:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x379230…
06-28 07:06:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x28d8f3…
06-26 00:37:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x743ac4…
06-25 22:39:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0x57d47c…
06-24 17:58:17	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xab4605…
06-24 16:50:29	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xaae415…
06-23 08:54:07	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8e36d9…
06-23 07:31:59	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x03acb7…
06-23 06:01:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xb6e0ab…
06-23 05:02:41	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x4d4484…
06-20 09:15:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x8941c0…
06-20 08:14:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xe0d50b…
06-20 08:14:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x2cdad7…
06-20 05:45:10	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x58e21a…
06-20 04:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x844795…
06-19 13:01:52	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x449774…
06-19 10:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x2e5a0e…
06-19 08:43:49	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x91907a…
06-18 04:43:05	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x87fd3f…
06-18 03:31:55	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xb0ef22…
06-18 01:39:10	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x429621…
06-18 00:31:23	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xde745a…
06-15 17:17:00	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x1e611f…
06-15 15:20:10	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x96bbf3…
06-15 01:51:40	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xe37e75…
06-15 00:01:43	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd07af3…
06-14 16:57:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb1457b…
06-13 10:47:43	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x391c86…
06-13 09:32:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1ec36…
06-12 03:47:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xb19532…
06-12 02:43:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x0faa70…
06-11 13:44:13	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x6e62c8…
06-11 11:51:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xbb359c…
06-11 07:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x54040f…
06-11 05:31:37	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xf546ef…
06-10 14:41:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0x3082cf…
06-10 13:18:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x57739f…
06-10 07:19:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xcde5f1…
06-10 04:45:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xd213a8…
06-09 15:57:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xd037b6…
06-08 22:11:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xd9991c…
06-08 20:46:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$52	0x4178d6…
06-01 14:22:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf9d00d…
06-01 12:14:24	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xea841f…
05-06 03:32:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xece535…
05-06 02:47:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x0d73ec…
05-04 06:36:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x8f25e8…
05-04 04:40:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x4eb21a…
04-28 08:21:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$75	0x193939…
04-28 06:57:08	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$75	0x70a6d4…
04-28 04:36:50	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	81	92¢	$75	0x18ebac…
04-28 03:01:42	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	81	92¢	$75	0x30314f…
04-27 17:25:24	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x4f2772…
04-27 15:14:34	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x2db674…
04-27 07:44:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xae19c2…
04-27 06:08:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1032bc…
04-27 03:55:26	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x812f36…
04-27 02:05:28	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xb685cc…
04-26 04:13:42	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	88	88¢	$77	0xf73dc5…
04-26 02:47:58	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	88	89¢	$78	0x98f108…
04-25 23:50:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0x6b80e6…
04-25 21:46:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x048bf0…
04-25 13:57:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x2759f9…
04-25 12:18:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xab3886…
04-23 23:26:12	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x6a35ff…
04-23 21:22:28	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xe62743…
04-22 20:04:10	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x5c876d…
04-22 18:14:54	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x8ee9e0…
04-21 23:25:08	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	106	75¢	$79	0xc74049…
04-21 21:35:20	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	106	75¢	$80	0x1d6106…
04-21 20:25:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xd2957e…
04-21 18:55:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x0fe7ed…
04-19 08:16:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	98¢	$81	0x54ad7c…
04-19 06:22:50	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xbfb2b9…
04-18 18:14:46	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0x1d2ef9…
04-18 16:18:04	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x7c7a8c…
04-18 14:26:30	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xb2fd40…
04-18 12:14:00	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x704de1…
04-18 11:20:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	87	94¢	$82	0xcf41bc…
04-18 09:27:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	87	95¢	$82	0xfcbba3…
04-16 13:52:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x3609ca…
04-16 11:55:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xba4001…
04-16 07:21:58	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0xf476a2…
04-16 05:47:42	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x2469a5…