Black-Governance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$693

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-15 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

65% 17% -$73

Crypto

34% 33% -$19

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$80	139	139	+0	Up	$0	05-11 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	2	$76	60	60	+0	Yes	+$44	06-05 15:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	1	$59	95	0	+95	No	-$59	06-15 10:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	2	$38	93	93	+0	No	-$2	05-26 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 10:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?	1	$30	104	0	+104	Yes	+$74	05-26 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$30	38	0	+38	Yes	+$8	05-19 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	1	$22	62	0	+62	No	-$22	06-04 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?	1	$21	59	0	+59	No	-$21	06-04 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 13?	1	$20	31	0	+31	Yes	+$11	05-13 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-11 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$18	68	0	+68	No	-$18	05-26 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$17	25	12	+12	Down	-$1	05-11 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	1	$15	53	0	+53	No	-$15	06-04 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$13	19	13	+7	Down	$0	05-11 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 5?	1	$13	53	0	+53	No	-$13	06-04 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	1	$12	62	0	+62	No	-$12	06-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$10	107	0	+107	Up	-$10	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-11 10:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	05-11 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	139	0	+139	Up	-$10	05-11 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?	1	$10	50	0	+50	Yes	+$40	05-11 11:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	1	$10	37	0	+37	No	-$10	05-26 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	05-11 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	05-12 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	05-11 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 10:50:39	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	95	62¢	$59	0x20bb5a…
06-05 15:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc63577…
06-04 14:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0xdebf7d…
06-04 14:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x8624cb…
06-04 14:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	59	35¢	$21	0xf1c286…
06-04 14:47:12	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x9e09d1…
06-04 14:46:57	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x7233bc…
06-04 14:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x0e36ad…
06-04 14:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$22	0xd49cdb…
06-04 14:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0xd94fdd…
06-04 14:33:22	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x512f6b…
06-04 14:33:19	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf34774…
06-04 14:33:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c96e8…
05-26 10:47:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	26¢	$17	0x84767b…
05-26 10:46:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	93	19¢	$18	0xb7d969…
05-26 10:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8a506f…
05-26 10:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x71b32c…
05-26 10:44:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf02494…
05-26 10:43:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x9da958…
05-26 10:43:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0xa56329…
05-19 14:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x69a044…
05-19 08:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xeee7f0…
05-19 08:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xd442c3…
05-13 10:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0e6222…
05-13 10:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa67b0c…
05-13 10:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4c879d…
05-13 10:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$1	0xb724e3…
05-13 10:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	163	1¢	$1	0x060ea2…
05-12 10:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3a9fd2…
05-11 15:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xa7ec0e…
05-11 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbf774c…
05-11 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb8227b…
05-11 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a941b…
05-11 15:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb011ac…
05-11 14:27:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xdcb674…
05-11 11:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4996cb…
05-11 11:51:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe1d8f6…
05-11 11:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x668f56…
05-11 11:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x65c131…
05-11 11:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9722fa…
05-11 11:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xd51493…
05-11 11:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x687cc3…
05-11 11:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa5ae6d…
05-11 11:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x12b76c…
05-11 11:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa48cb2…
05-11 10:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x822d38…
05-11 10:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x11f09a…
05-11 10:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xcc506d…
05-11 10:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1b71e2…
05-11 10:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2836e3…
05-11 10:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x53f98d…
05-11 10:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x580ea4…
05-11 10:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x16dae2…
05-11 10:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd7f771…
05-11 10:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x4c93b9…
05-11 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x4d669e…
05-11 10:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6d63a7…
05-11 10:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x81ff1c…
05-11 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4baf43…
05-11 10:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x4f91f5…
05-11 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x86a069…
05-11 10:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2e412d…
05-11 10:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4bc084…
05-11 09:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x52e76d…
05-11 09:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x159679…